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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc ultra who wrote (6252)8/19/2011 7:18:40 AM
From: Boca_PETE  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
marc, thanks for the very clear explanation of Bob's thinking process and for your wonderful analytic posts.

I deduce from them that chances are substantially reduced of an intermediate term (up to 20%) correction turning into a bear market (-20 or more %) when Bob's Long Term Timing Model is still flashing "Bull Market".

Do you think George Soros was talking his book to L 'Hebdo (ie. short positions) yesterday when he warned that "Euro Collapse Could Spark Global Depression" ?

P



To: marc ultra who wrote (6252)8/19/2011 10:51:48 AM
From: Honey_Bee2 Recommendations  Respond to of 10065
 
Nice verbiage, "marc," but you totally ignored the facts about Bob Brinker's non-existent market-timing. But thank you for revealing yourself.

You mentioned his great long-term "timing model." ROFLOL! Is that the same timing model that was calling for the S&P to reach 1650 in late 2007, and then kept him bullish throughout a 57%+ decline?

But as I said, I appreciate your revealing yourself. I always suspected where you were coming from. Now I know.

Peace....Honey out.
.



To: marc ultra who wrote (6252)8/21/2011 12:26:40 PM
From: Kirk ©2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10065
 
Bob Brinker was BULLISH when the market was in the 1500s and has remained bullish and 100% in equities since 2003.

HoneyBee: How can any intelligent person take the man's market-timing seriously anymore? The mind boggles.

Mark Ultra: I think it continues to be brilliant. The long term timing model is essentially either bullish or bearish. It remains bullish."

Bob Brinker was so bullish in 2007 with the S&P500 in the 1500s that he called for a GIFT HORSE BUYING OPPORTUNITY for MID 1400s

Here we are nearly four years later and the market hasn't come close to the 1500s top, much less his GIFT HORSE buy level of 1467 (
mid 1400s is 1433 to 1467 so from mid 1500s the buy was at 1467).

About all Bob Brinker can do is wait awhile then issue a new "buy the dip" signal. Lather rinse and repeat He hopes new folks don't know of his past mistakes or who have soap on the brain.

He was 100% in equities at the top in the mid 1500s and has bashed the bears anytime the market rallies while bragging about being bullish when the market was lower!

How can you call his long term timing model brilliant when he was bullish and fully invested for the biggest bear market since the great depression?

Now if he went to 100% cash and bought CDs or GNMAs in 2007 in the mid 1500s rather than bash the bears and call for a gift horse in the mid 1400s, then you could call it brilliant.

I agree with HB, the mind boggles.