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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (6266)8/21/2011 3:58:49 PM
From: marc ultra3 Recommendations  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 10065
 
Your points are tiresome,repetitive and at this point rather useless.Instead of trying to show and tell the same thing over and over I'll make it easy. I hereby stipulate under penalty of perjury that Bob completely failed to call the 2008 bear. Like me he did not see the two black swans coming of an oil spike to $145 damaging the economy followed by a death blow of letting Lehman go under setting off the first true financial panic since 1907.Thanks in good part to Bob and his model, I was able to call and participate in the massive rally off that bottom. He called the 2000 top and 2003 bottom and is the best fundamental market timer I've seen. Virtually all those who were bearish during 2008 ended up missing much or all of the massive bull with a double off the 666 low.



To: Kirk © who wrote (6266)8/21/2011 4:05:05 PM
From: Honey_Bee2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10065
 
KIrk,

I have a list of Bob Brinker's ridiculous buy-levels (market bottoms?) going way back, but let's just focus on his "brilliant" market-model over the past 3 years. The three years that included the worst megabear market of our life times.

As he remained fully invested! Brinker 2008 & 2009 Buy Levels:

  • January 4, 2008, S&P @ 1411: "Mid-1400's"
  • Feb 10, 2008 S&P @ 1331: "Low-1300's" (delivered via "special bulletin" - no mention of January Marketimer mid-1400's buying opportunity)
  • Aug 5, 2008 S&P @ 1285: "1240 or less"
  • Sept 2, 2008 S&P @ 1282: "Low-to-mid 1200's"
  • September 16th -- rescinded low-to-mid 1200's (recommended dollar cost-average only)
  • January 2009 S&P @ 931: “bear market bottom range of 750 to 850."
  • Feb. 2009 S&P @ 826: “low-to-mid 800’s"
  • March 5, 2009 S&P @ 696: waiting for a bottom and a test of that low. No DC or buy levels.
  • April 3, 2009 S&P @ 798: 676 benchmark low in. Short-term weakness is buying opportunity. He gave up giving specifics. S&P500 Target: 1000s to 1100s in next 12 to 18 months. (we got there in 5 months!)
  • July 1, 2010: S&P 1030: "attractive for purchase."

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