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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MCsweet who wrote (44236)9/6/2011 2:15:49 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Respond to of 78595
 
Sorry, but I don't use forward PEs and I do not have any clue about how correct they are as predictions.

AHL and ENH are cheaper on some metrics. However, their historical business performance is worse than WTM. AHL had about 10% book value growth for 10 years, while ENH had 8% (12% per share book growth due to stock buybacks). This makes a huge difference compared to 13% due to compounding.

Perhaps WTM's investment in Mike Burry contributed to their stellar results. :) If this is the case, we won't see it repeated. ;) On the other hand, if they spot other good investment opportunities, they may outperform AHL and ENH again. (Which does not matter if someone buys AHL/ENH for 1-2 year revert-to-median investment, but matters if they buy for 10 year investment).