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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53633)9/9/2011 4:57:06 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95503
 
Nice support chart for SPX. C could be a high reward trade here.
I have some from under $30 bought in 2009 (under $3 split adjusted) but I was too greedy to take profits at the 4 opportunities at $50. Every time I thought about it... it was too late. Still might get some more here as everyone hates banks.... I did buy some XLF recently near its similar low ($12.50 I think) so I'll check that next...




To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53633)9/9/2011 11:54:14 PM
From: Return to Sender2 Recommendations  Respond to of 95503
 
That 10% above rule for going long on the VIX is just a short term rule. Yes, that means you should have considered going long today but even when making short term trades one should not buck the overall market trend except for a quick counter trend rally. The 10% rule on the VIX is only for short term swing trading.

We have plenty of negativity these days. We almost have more bears than bulls in the II Poll. It's not impossible that we have not already seen the bottom for the market. It's just an awful quick bottom if we have seen it. Look at how long it took for us to bottom in 2002 and then in the quicker sell off in 2009. Well over 2 years in 2002. At least 13 months from the top in 2007/2008 to the bottom in 2009:



We have only had a few months of selling now. We are not even in a new bear market. Unfortunately I believe we are in the same old one. We have yet to see a 90% upside day. Volume is still too high on the down days. We have not yet got clear of the capitulation phase.





RtS