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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53694)9/13/2011 3:31:52 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Respond to of 95520
 
WFR on the other hand is a different story. S&P has not upgraded the WFR outlook since last 4 Aug.

August 4, 2011
09:24 am ET ... S&P KEEPS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF MEMC
ELECTRONIC MATERIALS (WFR 6.99***): WFR posts Q2 operating EPS of $0.29,
vs. $0.06, beating our $0.10 estimate. Sales rose 1.3% from Q1, aided by $149M
from a solar contract resolution and higher semiconductor wafer shipments.
Despite challenging solar and semiconductor wafer pricing and volume trends,
we think a rising SunEdison backlog as well as the planned purchase of
Fotowatio Renewable will help it better navigate the current environment.We cut
our '11 operating EPS estimate $0.07 to $0.80 and '12's by $0.15 to $0.91.We
reduce our 12-month target price by $2.00 to $7.00, on a P/E within the peer range.
/A. Zino-CFA

Note that even though WFR posted an EPS of 0.29 versus the 0.10 estimate, the stock did not get an upgrade, and as a matter of fact, took a big dive in price after the earnings announcement. The stock has recovered somewhat from that point and today is selling around 6.75, up a little over 1 percent. This value is very near the S&P 7 dollars a share target price. WFR's FY11 ends in December, therefore the 3rd quarter will close at the end of this month. Estimated earnings at this time is 0.16, much lower than the Q2 actual of 0.29. A summary of WFR from the S&P report is shown below.

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc. (WFR) is a global leader in the manufacture of
silicon wafers. The company designs, manufactures and provides wafers and intermediate products for
use in the semiconductor, solar and related industries. Its customers include virtually all of the world's major
semiconductor device manufacturers, such as the major memory, microprocessor, and applications
specific integrated circuit (ASIC) manufacturers, as well as the world's largest foundries.

WFR's products include prime polish wafers, epitaxial wafers, test and monitor wafers, and siliconon-
insulator (SOI) wafers. WFR's prime wafer is a polished, highly refined, pure wafer with an ultraflat and
ultraclean surface. The majority of these wafers are manufactured with a sophisticated chemical-mechanical
polishing process that removes defects and leaves an extremely smooth surface. WFR's epitaxial,
or epi, wafers consist of a thin silicon layer grown on the polished surface of the wafer. The epitaxial
layer usually has different electrical properties from the underlying wafer, which provides customers with
better isolation between circuit elements than a polished wafer, and the ability to tailor the wafer to the
specific demands of the device.

WFR supplies test/monitor wafers to customers for their use in testing semiconductor manufacturing lines
and processes. Although test/monitor wafers are essentially the same as prime wafers with respect to
cleanliness, it has some less rigorous requirements, allowing WFR to produce some of the test/monitor
wafers from the portion of the silicon ingot that does not meet customer specifications. A SOI wafer is a
new type of starting material for the chip making process. SOI wafers have three layers: a thin surface layer
of silicon where the transistors are formed, an underlying layer of insulating material, and a support bulk
silicon wafer. Transistors built within the top silicon layer typically switch signals faster, run at lower voltages,
and are much less vulnerable to signal noise from background cosmic ray particles.

Through WFR's SunEdison business, the company is a leading solar energy installer in North America, and
also provides financing services under long-term power purchase arrangements and feed-in tariff
arrangements. Customers pay only for the electricity output generated by the solar system installed, avoiding
the significant capital outlays usually associated with solar projects.

In 2010, Suntech Power Holding and First Reserve Partnership accounted for 12% and 13% of total sales.
No other customer comprised more than 10% of total revenues.