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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (10015)	11/19/1997 7:05:00 AM
From: William H Huebl	Read Replies (5) \| Respond to of 94695

Iqbal, It looks to me we have 2 of the 3 uncertainties out of the way... IRAQ may turn out to be a non-event and Greenspan isn't raising rates. The 3rd, SE Asia has certainly taken on a life of it's own, but historically, those markets typically don't DRIVE ours... surely we reflect in some small way those markets, but our reaction to them is the concern - they are just symptioms.... or excuses, if you will. I see the bond rates testing prior lows set back in early 1996. Then once THAT happens, we will need to develop a strategy of where the markets will go from THERE. IMHO Regards, Bill

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (10015)	11/19/1997 7:37:00 AM
From: robnhood	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi Iq, <inflation threats are being ignored>,,,that seems to be the rub of it,...the funds seem to have so much cash , that they are capable of ignoring most anything,,IMHO russell

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (10015)	11/19/1997 10:46:00 AM
From: studdog	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Iqbal, Except for the fear of Japanese selling, I don't see any reason for bond yields to rise. Historically, 10 year treasuries have been around 5 when inflation was this low. Deflationary forces I believe will help to keep the lid of inflation in this country even in a growing economy, and as there is evidence that the economy is actually slowing, then I would not expect bond yields to rise,but rather fall. What are your thoughts on that? Karl

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (10015)	11/19/1997 11:12:00 AM
From: Joan Osland Graffius	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi IQBAL, >>why should it be here when economy is so strong-inflation threats are being ignored I see a retracement of 4 points in bond It could be we are having a supply and demand environment with the bond. The flight to safety effect. I also suspect if the fed thinks it is over done they will raise their rate. Also the Japanese could help us out. Does this make sense? Joan