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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc ultra who wrote (6387)9/22/2011 9:56:02 PM
From: marc ultra2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10065
 
Bob has a new bulletin out which I think was influenced by today's successful retest



To: marc ultra who wrote (6387)9/24/2011 3:34:17 AM
From: marc ultra2 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 10065
 
8/8 versus 9/22 internals. Got this from NBR transcripts as can't get the WSJ historic data.

8/8 0 new highs, 1345 new lows. 47 adv, 3091 dec. vol 2536, up vol 25.2, down vol 2510

9/22 9 new highs, 770 new lows. 343 adv, 2724 dec. vol 1713, up vol 82.4, down vol 1630

I think this may be some kind of mix of Dow and NYSE composite but the statistics are exactly comparable.
So 9/22 was a pretty extreme down day but as a retest of the of the 8/8 benchmark low it was obviously mild compared to 8/8.

I think Bob would see it as a perfect successful retest. This is just classic for what Bob has predicted in the past where once we go over a 10% correction in an ongoing bull, we then need to go through an extended process of testing and probing which in this case we had 6 weeks of numerous tests and on 9/22 intraday actually fell a little below the 8/8 closing low before strongly rallying into the close on less extreme volume and other internals.

. Thanks to following Bob closely for years I was able to say elsewhere on 8/8 that we had set the area of the bottom and predicted the extended period of testing and noted 9/22 looked like a perfect retest. This again looks like the 1998 scenario and the only thing based on that and other retests it is possible we could have some final retest in the Oct-Nov time-frame.

With the 9/22 retest and Bob's bulletin I took a flyer on some WY $16 calls for 75 cents expiring 10/21 which is the first time I bought an option in many years. Hope it gets taken over on Mon <g>.