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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Don Westermeyer who wrote (807)11/19/1997 12:47:00 PM
From: Michel Bera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Don,

I want to know much more about this market before starting on options. Even then, I think that I shall go for LEAPS. I feel more like an investor than a trader.

But I agree with you that premiums must be crazy high for Net
stocks, especially now with both Saddam and Competition entering.

I am long on EGRP (and 20% in the red currently).

Regards,

MiB



To: Don Westermeyer who wrote (807)11/19/1997 12:52:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Respond to of 164684
 
Don, hadn't looked this afternoon, but mid-morning the Jan 50 puts were 6-6 5/8 (couldn't get a quote on the 45s). Considering the volatility of the stock, the number of AMZN bears out there and the likely hedging by insider longs, the put premiums being high doesn't surprise me. But I'm gonna wait to see whether the normal pattern of newly optionable stocks rallying holds true here. If it does, or if it just sits here for a little while, the premiums should come down. There should be plenty of chances to make money off the downside here, so no big hurry.

Bob



To: Don Westermeyer who wrote (807)11/19/1997 5:44:00 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
I'm showing the time premiums for the Dec calls and puts identical
to within about 1/2. This is just as options theory would dictate.
Otherwise an arbitrageur could clock some easy dollars.

For instance.
With AMZN at $52,
Dec 50 Call = ZQNLJ = $6.125 = $2.000 + $4.125
Dec 50 Put = ZQNXJ = $4.250 = $0.000 + $4.250
So the time premiums are within 1/8, (and both quite high).

Farther out:
Jul 50 Call = ZQNGJ = $13.625 = $2.000 + $11.625
Jul 50 Put = ZQNSJ = $12.000 = $0.000 + $12.000
So the time premiums are within 3/8, and pretty high.

If you think the time premiums are a little too dear, you can
simply sell a (naked) call instead of buying a put. That will
clock you dollars if either the stock drops or the implied
volatility goes down. Unfortunately, your risk is unlimited
if the reverse happens.

More complicated trading strategies exists, but none of them
look too good to me due to the high spreads. Maybe somebody
else has some ideas....

-- Carl