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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (22090)11/19/1997 2:38:00 PM
From: Meathead  Respond to of 176387
 
I have all but given up on TA for predicting price moves. I still
look at charts regularly to "get a feel for things".

Used to use stochastics, RSI, MACD coupled with price patterns
(H&S, flags, pennants, wedges etc.) volume and candles. I don't
totally discount the ability of TA to spot latent pressures or
trend reversals, it's just not all that reliable. I think
william summed it up by saying something about unpredictable
items such as news have the largest impact on day-to-day swings.
Over the long term, it's growth and earnings period.

Try this, backtest any trading strategy you can think of on Dell
over it's ~10 year history. Not one of them can beat going long
and staying there. I know cause I've done exhaustive testing
using WOW. The only thing that comes close is a simple moving
average crossover with a long time horizon. It falls short because
of whipsaws and trading in and out. There is no majic set of
indicators. If you know of a system, post it in detail here
and I'll backtest it.

MEATHEAD