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To: TheSlowLane who wrote (71871)10/3/2011 10:26:00 AM
From: bull_dozer3 Recommendations  Respond to of 78408
 
Nomura Explains Why Gold Went Down, And Why It Is Going Back Up

Tired of all the trite meaningless propaganda from Economic PhDs who crawl out of the woodwork every time there is a downtick in gold, proclaiming in big bold letters that the Gold "bubble" has burst, only to crawl right back in when gold soars $100/oz in the days following their latest terminally wrong proclamation? Or, alterantively, wondering what will happen to gold from this point on? Then the following report from Nomura is for you. As Saeed Amen analyzes: "In this article we explain why the price of gold has fallen in recent weeks. Notably, price action during Asian hours has become very bearish, which had not been the case in previous unwinds earlier in the year. In addition, it is likely that losses in risky assets such as equities helped precipitate unwinding of very heavily extended long gold positions. However, the key reasons for being bullish gold remain; namely, a very low interest rate environment and the potential for long-term demand from Asia. Also, the potential for gold’s status as a safe-haven hedge to tail risks arising from various uncertainties due to the European debt crisis is likely to be enhanced, especially now that short-term speculative positioning is relatively light. Also on a short-term basis, we have begun to see some reversal in gold back upwards during Asian hours, after the unwind." Overall, informative but nothing new to regular readers: gold liquidations on market plunge (confirming ironically that gold is now among the most liquid types of investments in the market) as had been predicted months ago, and the same long-term fundamentals for the metal once the current stock downturn shakes out all the weak hands.

zerohedge.com



To: TheSlowLane who wrote (71871)10/3/2011 10:56:46 AM
From: Metacomet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78408
 
...we have a new contender for The Bozo Award today.

I nominate Vanguard Funds founder, John Bogle:

money.cnn.com



To: TheSlowLane who wrote (71871)10/4/2011 8:04:13 AM
From: bull_dozer  Respond to of 78408
 
Gold bugs beware – the bubble is finally bursting

Gold is losing its glimmer. Last month, gold prices dropped more than $300 an ounce – the largest short-term fall in more than 20 years. This suggests that a decade-long bull market is ending. Gold’s recent volatility is spooking investors and destroying demand.

The last bull market for gold ended in 1980, when prices fell by 60 per cent. For 20 years after, owning gold was dead money. In 2011, the bubble is popping again. This time, gold could drop to $700 an ounce, more than $1,000 below its peak.

The difference from the current gold bubble and the previous one is that investors are now armed with exchange traded funds (ETFs), derivatives that increase their ability to run from gold if necessary. Several hedge funds have become dominant holders of ETFs. Investors now are responding to uncertainty in the eurozone by selling gold and other commodities and buying less volatile US dollars. ETFs, the vehicles that helped push gold to stratospheric levels, are now pulling it down to earth.

...
...

If gold is falling in a weak economy, and investors are willing to own US dollars again, imagine how it will perform when the global economy eventually moves from chaos to prosperity, and more traditional investments – those that produce products, dividends and jobs – come back in fashion. Gold has lost its shine.


ft.com



To: TheSlowLane who wrote (71871)10/28/2011 3:02:52 PM
From: bull_dozer  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 78408
 
Gold set to crash to $1000/oz in 3 years on potential surplus

NEW YORK (Commodity Online): Gold may be headed downward to $1000 an ounce within three years as a potential surplus in the commodity will see lower prices as investor demand saps off, according to Christoph Eibl, founding partner of Tiberius Asset Management said in an interview to Reuters.

COMEX gold is trading around $1750 after prices had peaked to $1920 and subsequently crashed to $1530 in a global sell-off triggered by risk aversion.The investor sentiment has been mixed with some believing that gold will propel to $10,000/oz on the global recession while others maintaining that gold prices are too high.


commodityonline.com