To: SilentZ who wrote (630181 ) 10/3/2011 1:13:48 PM From: tejek Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1577023 I am surprised that Brown is this unpopular. If these numbers hold up, its clear he won because Coakley ran such a terrible campaign. UMass-Lowell/Herald poll: Elizabeth Warren, Scott Brown in dead heat Joe K, Deval would do better By Joe Battenfeld Monday, October 3, 2011 Democrat Elizabeth Warren’s meteoric ascent in Massachusetts politics has landed her in a virtual dead heat with Republican U.S. Sen. Scott Brown, while two Democrats who passed on the race — Gov. Deval Patrick and former U.S. Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy II — could pose even bigger threats to the GOP incumbent, a new UMass-Lowell/Boston Herald poll shows. Brown is ahead of Warren by a 41-38 percent margin in a general election trial heat, a statistical tie given the poll’s 3.8 percent margin of error. Warren, who announced her campaign just last month, faces her first crucial test Tuesday night in a Democratic debate sponsored by University of Massachusetts at Lowell and the Herald. The Harvard Law School professor and consumer advocate’s message of standing up for middle class voters appears to be a major reason why she has pulled even with Brown, according to the poll of 1,005 registered Massachusetts voters conducted Sept. 22-28. “I really like what (Warren) did with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau,” said Democrat Irene Daly of West Roxbury, one of the respondents in the poll. “I like her commitment to not protect the big banks.” The poll, conducted by Princeton Survey Research, is the first under a partnership between the Herald and UMass-Lowell’s new Center for Public Opinion. While Warren’s early strength is impressive, Patrick and Kennedy — who said they have no plans to run — fare even better against Brown. Patrick leads Brown by a 43-36 percent margin and Kennedy holds an even bigger advantage, 45 to 37 percent, among a sample of 506 registered voters. Even Attorney General Martha Coakley, who lost to Brown last year, would be in a dead heat with the Republican incumbent. Mike Mokrzycki, a consultant who produced the poll for UMass-Lowell, said he believes Patrick and Kennedy’s numbers may have been boosted by high name recognition. “I don’t think that necessarily means they would have been stronger candidates (than Warren),” he said. Just one-third of potential Democratic primary voters in the poll say they are satisfied with the current field, while nearly half say they are “neither satisfied nor dissatisfied.” But Warren, despite never having run for elective office, is already the clear front-runner in the six-person Democratic race, getting 36 percent of 636 potential primary voters, while the rest of the field doesn’t even crack 5 percent. More than 40 percent of Democratic voters are undecided or chose none of the above. State Rep. Thomas P. Conroy gets 5 percent, followed by Marisa DeFranco at 4 percent, Alan Khazei and Bob Massie with 3 percent, and Herb Robinson with 1 percent. The poll was conducted before Newton Mayor Setti Warren withdrew from the race. He only got 3 percent of the total. Page: 1 2 Continue » bostonherald.com