SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio candidates - Moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/6/2011 1:42:37 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Technology Executives Comment on Apple’s Jobs Death:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-06/technology-executives-comment-on-apple-s-jobs-death-voices.html

Executives and politicians comment on the death of Steve Jobs, the co-founder and former chief executive officer of Apple Inc. (AAPL):

Bill Gates, chairman and founder of Microsoft Corp.

“I’m truly saddened to learn of Steve Jobs’s death. Melinda and I extend our sincere condolences to his family and friends, and to everyone Steve has touched through his work.

“Steve and I first met nearly 30 years ago, and have been colleagues, competitors and friends over the course of more than half our lives.

“The world rarely sees someone who has had the profound impact Steve has had, the effects of which will be felt for many generations to come.

“For those of us lucky enough to get to work with him, it’s been an insanely great honor. I will miss Steve immensely.”

U.S. President Barack Obama.

“Steve was among the greatest of American innovators -- brave enough to think differently, bold enough to believe he could change the world, and talented enough to do it.

“By building one of the planet’s most successful companies from his garage, he exemplified the spirit of American ingenuity. By making computers personal and putting the Internet in our pockets, he made the information revolution not only accessible, but intuitive and fun. And by turning his talents to storytelling, he has brought joy to millions of children and grownups alike. Steve was fond of saying that he lived every day like it was his last. Because he did, he transformed our lives, redefined entire industries, and achieved one of the rarest feats in human history: he changed the way each of us sees the world.

“The world has lost a visionary. And there may be no greater tribute to Steve’s success than the fact that much of the world learned of his passing on a device he invented. Michelle and I send our thoughts and prayers to Steve’s wife Laurene, his family, and all those who loved him.”

John Chambers, chief executive officer of Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO)

“The world lost a true visionary and great man today. Steve Jobs did more than simply shape our concepts of technology and invention, he helped define our understanding of how great innovation and design can bring people closer together.

“I, and everyone at Cisco, are deeply saddened by Steve’s loss. Our deepest sympathies go out to his colleagues and family. We’ll miss you, Steve, but your legacy will continue forever.”

Mark Zuckerberg, founder and chief executive officer of Facebook Inc.

“Steve, thank you for being a mentor and a friend. Thanks for showing that what you build can change the world. I will miss you.”

Meg Whitman, chief executive officer of Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ)

“Steve Jobs was an iconic entrepreneur and businessman whose impact on technology was felt beyond Silicon Valley. He will be remembered for the innovation he brought to market and the inspiration he brought to the world.”

Robert Iger, chief executive officer of Walt Disney Co. (DIS)

“Steve Jobs was a great friend as well as a trusted adviser. His legacy will extend far beyond the products he created or the businesses he built.

“It will be the millions of people he inspired, the lives he changed, and the culture he defined. Steve was such an “original,” with a thoroughly creative, imaginative mind that defined an era. Despite all he accomplished, it feels like he was just getting started.

“With his passing the world has lost a rare original, Disney has lost a member of our family, and I have lost a great friend. Our thoughts and prayers are with his wife Laurene and his children during this difficult time.”

Larry Page, chief executive officer of Google Inc. (GOOG)

“I am very, very sad to hear the news about Steve. He was a great man with incredible achievements and amazing brilliance.

“He always seemed to be able to say in very few words what you actually should have been thinking before you thought it.

“His focus on the user experience above all else has always been an inspiration to me. He was very kind to reach out to me as I became CEO of Google and spend time offering his advice and knowledge even though he was not at all well.

“My thoughts and Google’s are with his family and the whole Apple family.”

Sergey Brin, co-founder of Google Inc.

“From the earliest days of Google, whenever Larry and I sought inspiration for vision and leadership, we needed to look no farther than Cupertino.

“Steve, your passion for excellence is felt by anyone who has ever touched an Apple product (including the Macbook I am writing this on right now). And I have witnessed it in person the few times we have met.

“On behalf of all of us at Google and more broadly in technology, you will be missed very much. My condolences to family, friends, and colleagues at Apple.”

Marc Benioff, chief executive officer of Salesforce.com Inc. (CRM)

“Steve Jobs was the greatest leader our industry has ever known. We are all blessed by his life. My thoughts and prayers are with his family.

“I am really sad. It’s such a terrible loss for the whole world. I will never forget him. He did so much for me.”

Guy Kawasaki, who served as an “evangelist” for Apple’s Macintosh computer when it was introduced in 1984 and is a founder of Garage Technology Ventures in Palo Alto, California.

“No CEO ever has done more for his customers, shareholders and employees than Steve Jobs.”

Michael Dell, chief executive officer of Dell Inc. (DELL)

“Today the world lost a visionary leader, the technology industry lost an iconic legend and I lost a friend and fellow founder.

“The legacy of Steve Jobs will be remembered for generations to come. My thoughts and prayers go out to his family and to the Apple team.”

Scott McGregor, chief executive officer of Broadcom Corp. (BRCM)

“Steve’s passion for innovation and creativity will carry on for decades to come.

“His legacy is enormous, touching millions of people around the world. Our entire industry and economy is better for his presence and incredible contributions.

“On behalf of Broadcom, we send our deepest condolences to Steve’s family and to Apple employees.”

Jay Elliot, author of “The Steve Jobs Way” who worked at Apple with Jobs for 6 years.

“It’s very sad. I can’t believe it. I’ve been preparing for it as we’ve all known it’s coming. But he was a unique person who we’ll never see or meet again.

“He changed my life. He lived in a direct way, the way he wanted. Some people criticize him but I worked for him for many years and he was a very moral individual.”

Choi Gee Sung, chief executive officer of Samsung Electronics Co.

“Samsung Electronics is saddened to hear of Chairman Steve Jobs’s passing and would like to extend our deepest condolences.

“Chairman Steve Jobs introduced numerous revolutionary changes to the information technology industry and was a great entrepreneur.

“His innovative spirit and remarkable accomplishments will forever be remembered by people around the world.

“We would like to again express our sincerest condolences to Mr. Jobs family and his colleagues.”

Maria Shriver, former first lady of California.

“I’m going to turn off my Apple computer, iPhone and iPad tonight at 8 p.m. and honor Steve with a moment of digital silence. Will you join me?”

Jim Allchin, former chief architect of Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)’s Windows operating system.

“In my view Steve’s contributions to society grew over time and, although he was always innovative, his best work came during the last 10 years. Steve’s ability to understand user- centric computing was the best I have ever seen. He was a truly remarkable man.”

California Governor Jerry Brown.

“Steve Jobs was a great California innovator who demonstrated what a totally independent and creative mind can accomplish.

“Few people have made such a powerful and elegant imprint on our lives. Anne and I wish to express our deepest sympathy to Steve’s wife, Laurene, and their entire family.”

Jeff Bewkes, Time Warner Inc. (TWX) chief executive officer.

“The entire Time Warner family mourns the loss of Steve Jobs. The world is a better place because of Steve, and the stories our company tells have been made richer by the products he created.

“He was a dynamic and fearless competitor, collaborator, and friend. In a society that has seen incredible technological innovation during our lifetimes, Steve may be the one true icon whose legacy will be remembered for a thousand years.”

Rupert Murdoch, chairman and founder of News Corp.

“Today, we lost one of the most influential thinkers, creators and entrepreneurs of all time.

“Steve Jobs was simply the greatest CEO of his generation. While I am deeply saddened by his passing, I’m reminded of the stunning impact he had in revolutionizing the way people consume media and entertainment.

“My heart goes out to his family and to everyone who had the opportunity to work beside him in bringing his many visions to life.”

Mike Bloomberg, mayor of New York City and founder of Bloomberg LP, owner of Bloomberg News.

“Tonight, America lost a genius who will be remembered with Edison and Einstein, and whose ideas will shape the world for generations to come.

“Again and again over the last four decades, Steve Jobs saw the future and brought it to life long before most people could even see the horizon. And Steve’s passionate belief in the power of technology to transform the way we live brought us more than smartphones and iPads: It brought knowledge and power that is reshaping the face of civilization.

“In New York City’s government, everyone from street construction inspectors to NYPD detectives have harnessed Apple’s products to do their jobs more efficiently and intuitively.

“Tonight our city -- a city that has always had such respect and admiration for creative genius -- joins with people around the planet in remembering a great man and keeping Laurene and the rest of the Jobs family in our thoughts and prayers.”

Yang Yuanqing, chief executive officer of Lenovo Group Ltd. (992)

“Today the world lost one of its greatest innovators and visionaries with the passing of Steve Jobs. His achievements are unmatched in our time.

“Steve led this industry like a beacon for the past decade. As a competitor, he helped ensure all of us pushed even harder, and I am confident his legacy will continue to energize the industry for many years to come.

“We admired his spirit, his creativity and his passion. He not only changed the technology industry, he changed the world and made it better.

“While we will all feel this enormous loss, I am confident that this industry will take to heart the lessons Steve taught us about innovation.”

Howard Stringer, chairman of Sony Corp. (6758)

“The digital age has lost its leading light, but Steve’s innovations and creativity will inspire dreamers and thinkers for generations.”

Morris Chang, chairman of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.

“We have lost a true visionary. Steve Jobs changed the face of computing and defined the shape of mobile computing devices. He had created an unparalleled example of what innovation can do. It saddens me to think of how much more he had to offer the world. He will be missed deeply.”

George Lucas, chairman of Lucasfilm Ltd.

“The magic of Steve was that while others simply accepted the status quo, he saw the true potential in everything he touched and never compromised on that vision.

“He leaves behind an incredible family and a legacy that will continue to speak to people for years to come.”

John Lasseter, chief creative officer and president of Walt Disney and Pixar Animation Studios.

“Steve Jobs was an extraordinary visionary, our very dear friend and the guiding light of the Pixar family.

“He saw the potential of what Pixar could be before the rest of us, and beyond what anyone ever imagined. Steve took a chance on us and believed in our crazy dream of making computer animated films; the one thing he always said was to simply ‘make it great.’

“He is why Pixar turned out the way we did and his strength, integrity and love of life has made us all better people. He will forever be a part of Pixar’s DNA. Our hearts go out to his wife Laurene and their children during this incredibly difficult time.”

Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie, co-chief executive officers of Research In Motion Ltd.

“Steve Jobs was a great visionary and a respected competitor. We extend our deepest condolences to his family and to all of the employees of Apple.”

Paul Otellini, president and chief executive officer of Intel Corp. (INTC)

“True genius is measured by the ability to touch every person on the planet. Steve did that, not just once, but many, many times over his amazing life. We at Intel were privileged to have known him and worked with him as he brought his creations to life. Our hearts go out to his family and to his many friends and co-creators throughout the world.”

Stephen Elop, chief executive officer of Nokia Oyj. (NOK)

“The world lost a true visionary today. Steve’s passion for simplicity and elegance leaves us all a legacy that will endure for generations. Today, my thoughts, and those of everyone at Nokia, are with the friends and family that he leaves behind.”

John Sculley, a former Apple Inc. chief executive officer.

“Steve Jobs was intensely passionate at making an important difference in the lives of his fellow humans while he was on this planet. He never was into money or measured his life through owning stuff.

The world knows Steve Jobs as the brilliant genius who transformed technology into magic. A part of Steve still lives within all of us through his beautifully designed products and his no-compromises media experiences.

Steve Jobs captured our imagination with his creativity. His legacy is far more than being the greatest CEO ever. A world leader is dead, but the lessons his leadership taught us live on.”

Paul Jacobs, chief executive officer of Qualcomm Inc.

“We have all lost someone special today.

I had a number of opportunities to meet and talk with Steve Jobs over the years. He was always a bold visionary and a risk taker, and a tough businessman as well.

The products and technologies he and his team at Apple worked on will continue to influence the wireless industry and people’s everyday lives for many years to come. I offer my condolences to his family, friends and the employees of Apple.”

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/6/2011 2:40:29 AM
From: stockman_scott1 Recommendation  Respond to of 2955
 
...“Steve Jobs is a bit like a campfire,” Neil Sims, a headhunter who helped recruit executives for Jobs, said in an interview in October 2008. “Everyone wants to be close enough to stay warm. No one wants to get close enough to get burned.”

Steven Paul Jobs was born Feb. 24, 1955, in San Francisco, to unwed college graduate students Joanne Carole Schieble and Syrian emigrant Abdulfattah “John” Jandali. He was adopted by Clara and Paul Jobs, who raised Steve in the middle-class enclaves of Mountain View and Los Altos in California.

“That was right in the heart of Silicon Valley, so there were engineers all around,” Jobs said in a 1995 interview conducted by the Smithsonian Institution. “It was really the most wonderful place in the world to grow up.”

Jobs took advantage of the local technological ferment. His father had a workshop in the garage, and created a space for his son to tinker. A neighbor, who was a ham radio operator and Hewlett-Packard employee, taught him about electronics. Young Steve loved figuring out how things worked.

“It gave a tremendous level of self-confidence,” Jobs said in the Smithsonian interview. “Through exploration and learning one could understand seemingly very complex things.”

That self-confidence was on full display before he hit high school. As Jobs once told BusinessWeek, at age 12 he called William Hewlett, the co-founder of Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ), about some parts for a frequency counter he was trying to build. Hewlett stayed on the phone 20 minutes; Jobs got the parts he needed -- and eventually, a summer gig at Hewlett-Packard.

Catherine Lawler Jacobs, who lived around the block from the Jobs family, said she remembers Steve as a teen. Jobs appeared in her driveway one day, asking for her help setting up an office in his parents’ house. She’d been earning money selling turquoise jewelry and a neighbor recommended her as someone who knew a little about business. Jobs had no money to pay her but offered her shares in his new company.

“I said, and I remember this exactly, ‘I don’t want any phony shares. I want to get paid,’” Jacobs recalled in an interview. “You see, I wasn’t going to be burned by some nerd who was always hanging out in his garage.”

5-Cent Cans In 1972 Jobs graduated from Homestead High School in Cupertino, also the alma mater of his future business partner, Steve Wozniak, Class of 1968. He then headed north to attend Reed College, a liberal arts school in Portland, Oregon, famous for its Bohemian atmosphere. He dropped out after six months.

He didn’t leave right away, though. He stuck around campus for another year and a half, sleeping on friends’ floors and living off the money he raised by collecting bottles for 5-cent deposits. He listened in on classes, too, including one that would inspire a lifelong mission of elegant design -- a course on calligraphy.

“It was beautiful, historical, artistically subtle in a way that science can’t capture, and I found it fascinating,” Jobs said in a 2005 commencement address at Stanford University.

As Jobs told those Stanford grads, he “connected the dots” between this developing aesthetic sense and his technical understanding. He realized that technology and artistry could be complementary. More than that, the new world of computers offered a new medium for creativity.

Back in California By late 1974, Jobs was back in California, immersed in the technology-tinged counterculture of Silicon Valley. He traveled to India, became a Buddhist, experimented with LSD. He also hung out with his friend Wozniak -- they’d met a few years earlier through a fellow electronics enthusiast -- at the Homebrew Computer Club, a group of engineers and hobbyists who would meet to swap parts and ideas.

“He was one of those cool guys,” Wozniak said in an interview with Bloomberg TV after Jobs’s death. “He knew technology, he understood it. We talked about the philosophies of the day, the hippy movement, words in songs and went to concerts together. It was a strong friendship.”

The two started working together on projects, with Woz the tech genius and Jobs the brash idea man. An early effort was a “blue box” -- a hacker’s term for a device that taps into the phone system to make free long-distance calls. It worked.

“What we learned was that we could build something ourselves that could control billions of dollars worth of infrastructure in the world,” Jobs said in the 1996 PBS documentary “ Triumph of the Nerds.” “That was an incredible lesson. I don’t think there would ever have been an Apple computer had there not been blue boxes.”

Wozniak began putting together a contraption he and Jobs could show off to their Homebrew buddies. The Apple I was little more than a motherboard, the main circuit board in a personal computer. Whoever bought one -- Woz and Jobs sold 50 to a local hobby store -- had to supply their own case to hold the circuitry, not to mention a keyboard and monitor. It may have been primitive, but it was the proof of concept they needed. They knew they could build a better computer, and Jobs knew people would buy it.

The pair officially began Apple Computer on April 1, 1976. Twelve months later the company introduced the Apple II. It was a hit and became the first widely used home computer. The company’s sales reached $117 million in fiscal 1980, the year the company went public.

‘Welcome IBM. Seriously’

The Apple II was hardly a technological great leap forward. Yet unlike its predecessor, it did come with a keyboard and was housed in a plastic case. Nor was it alone in the marketplace. Commodore and RadioShack Corp. (RSH) also came out with early home- computer models around the same time; the Altair 8800 had been introduced in 1975.

IBM entered the market in 1981 with its own PC, using software from a tiny startup called Microsoft Corp. rather than building its own operating system. Jobs professed to be unconcerned, even running a full-page ad in the Wall Street Journal, saying “Welcome, IBM. Seriously.”

The Mac’s slow start gave IBM and other machines running Microsoft software and Intel Corp. (INTC) chips a chance to win adherents and build an ecosystem.

Us Against Them What set Apple apart was its charismatic frontman, Jobs, who was rapidly turning into a business superstar. He hyped. He dated Joan Baez and Diane Keaton. He saw himself and his company as an anti-establishment force, waging a noble campaign to battle the faceless power of IBM.

“You always need to have bad guys and good guys in America,” said McKenna, the technology marketing expert. “Apple was thumbing its nose at this big world of monolithic standards. It became a rebel. It became a symbol of fast growth, youth.”

Us-versus-IBM was the guiding worldview behind the famous TV commercial that introduced Apple’s next major product, the Macintosh. The 60-second spot, directed by Ridley Scott, ran only once, during the 1984 Super Bowl. It depicted an Orwellian world of grim conformity. A lone woman wearing a tank top sprints through the grayness and throws a hammer through a giant screen, shattering the droning visage of Big Brother.

The Mac, with its mouse and graphics, demonstrated Jobs’s ability to see the potential of new technologies and package them in a way that would appeal to the most demanding aesthete he could imagine: himself.

Matter of Taste Jobs had first seen a graphical user interface prototype a few years earlier on a visit to Xerox Corp. (XRX)’s Palo Alto Research Center, and immediately knew it was the future of computing. He had no compunction about copying the idea.

“Ultimately it comes down to taste,” Jobs said in “Triumph of the Nerds.” “It comes down to trying to expose yourself to the best things that humans have done and then trying to bring those things in to what you’re doing. I mean, Picasso had a saying. He said, ‘Good artists copy. Great artists steal.’”

The Mac project showed another side of Jobs: the inscrutable autocrat. He could be charming and rude almost in the same sentence, leaving underlings scared or dazzled or both. People who worked for Jobs called his powers of persuasion the “reality distortion field.”

Andy Hertzfeld, an early Apple engineer, described the phenomenon in “ Revolution in the Valley,” his 2005 book about the development of the Macintosh computer.

“The reality distortion field was a confounding melange of a charismatic rhetorical style, an indomitable will and an eagerness to bend any fact to fit the purpose at hand,” Hertzfeld wrote. “If one line of argument failed to persuade, he would deftly switch to another.”

Andrea Cunningham, who worked with McKenna on marketing the Mac in the 1980s, said that Jobs’ intolerance of aesthetic infractions never let up. Cunningham was with Jobs in his room at The Carlyle hotel in New York City for a magazine cover shoot. Jobs, who Cunningham said “always had to have the environment exactly right,” began yelling about a particular flower he wanted -- a calla lily.

“He was being such a pill,” said Cunningham, who is now head of marketing of Rearden Commerce in Foster City, California. “Where do you get a calla lily in New York in December at 11 at night? I found a florist. I found the calla lilies. And the next thing was a bowl of strawberries on the piano. And a separate bowl of whipped cream. We spent three or four hours doing this.”

Courting Sculley Jobs could bewitch too, as he did when he hired PepsiCo Inc. executive John Sculley to be Apple’s CEO in 1983. Jobs famously asked him, “Do you want to sell sugar water for the rest of your life, or do you want to come with me and change the world?”

“He looked up at me and just stared at me with the stare that only Steve Jobs has,” Sculley recalled in “Triumph of the Nerds.” “I just gulped because I knew I would wonder for the rest of my life what I would have missed.”

Not long after the launch of the Mac, Jobs’ relationship with Sculley and Apple’s board soured. Arthur Rock, the Silicon Valley venture capitalist and early Apple board member, said Jobs’s obsessions and unyielding personality got the best of him.

Jobs Ousted “Back then he was uncontrollable,” Rock said in a 2007 interview with Institutional Investor. “He got ideas in his head, and the hell with what anybody else wanted to do. Being a founder of the company, he went off and did them regardless of whether it ended up being good for the company.”

The Mac didn’t sell well during the 1984 holiday shopping season, and Sculley demanded in April 1985 that Jobs be relieved of day-to-day duties and serve as a non-executive chairman, playing the role of outside spokesman. Jobs hated the idea and tried to get the backing of Apple’s directors. The board sided with Sculley and Jobs was out.

Jobs was 30 years old and devastated, but not for long.

“I didn’t see it then,” Jobs said in his 2005 Stanford speech, “but it turned out that getting fired from Apple was the best thing that could have ever happened to me. The heaviness of being successful was replaced by the lightness of being a beginner again.”

In 1985 he founded NeXT, which developed a powerful computer based on the Unix operating system. The sleek, black machines earned a reputation for elegant design and high performance; Tim Berners-Lee created the World Wide Web on a NeXT workstation.

Pixar NeXT was hardly a success. The computers were too expensive to gain a wide following. Still, the software developed at NeXT would later provide the technological underpinnings for Apple machines.

The following year, Jobs bought George Lucas’s computer- graphics shop for $10 million and renamed it Pixar. The studio’s first feature film, “Toy Story,” was the top-grossing film of 1995, and kicked off an unbroken string of hits. Walt Disney Co. (DIS) bought Pixar in 2006 for $8.06 billion and gave Jobs a seat on the company’s board. He became Disney’s largest shareholder.

In his personal life, Jobs settled down. He married Laurene Powell in 1991 in a Buddhist ceremony at the Ahwahnee Hotel in Yosemite National Park, according to biographer Deutschman. The couple have three children.

He also reconciled with his daughter, Lisa Brennan-Jobs, who was born in 1978 to his then girlfriend Chrisann Brennan. Chrisann raised Lisa mainly on her own. By the time Lisa was a teenager and before she attended Harvard University, she moved into her father’s home.

“In California, my mother had raised me mostly alone,” Lisa wrote in an article for Vogue in 2008. “We didn’t have many things, but she is warm and we were happy. We moved a lot. We rented. My father was rich and renowned, and later, as I got to know him, went on vacations with him, and then lived with him for a few years, I saw another, more glamorous world.”

Neither Lisa Brennan-Jobs nor Chrisann Brennan, now a painter in San Francisco, would comment when contacted recently.

Jobs didn’t get in touch with his biological father, John Jandali, a onetime academic who went on to run beverage services at the Boomtown Casino in Reno, Nevada. Jandali and Schieble had another child after putting Steve up for adoption, a daughter named Mona Simpson, now a novelist. Jandali left the mother of his child. Schieble raised the girl alone.

“I’m proud of the fact that he’s my biological son, even though I cannot take credit for anything he’s done,” Jandali said in an interview at the Boomtown Casino in April 2009. He said he had never spoken to Steve.

Jobs’s absence from Apple coincided with the ascendance of Bill Gates and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), developer of a graphics-driven operating system of its own called Windows. Apple filed, and eventually lost, a lawsuit against Microsoft, arguing that Windows was a Mac knockoff.

When Jobs got wind of Microsoft’s plans for what would become Windows, he screamed at Gates about ripping Apple off, according to a 1983 essay by Andy Hertzfeld, the Mac’s chief software designer.

Gates coolly replied, “It’s more like we both had this rich neighbor named Xerox, and I broke into his house to steal the TV set and found out that you had already stolen it,” wrote Hertzfeld, who witnessed the interchange.

Meanwhile, Apple was dying. By late 1997, it had racked up two years of losses and the Mac’s share of the PC market was in the single digits and falling. On stage at a conference that year, Michael Dell was asked how he would revive Apple if he were CEO.

“What would I do? I’d shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders,” he said. Jobs would later say the company was 90 days from bankruptcy.

In desperation, Apple agreed to buy NeXT for $400 million in late 1996, and Jobs accepted a role as adviser to then-CEO Gil Amelio. Within seven months, Amelio was gone and Jobs was once again running the company.

One of the first things Jobs did upon retaking the reins was fire all but two of Apple’s board members. His handpicked replacements were Bill Campbell, a former Apple executive and then-CEO of Intuit; Jerome York, former IBM CFO and onetime adviser to Tracinda Corp. CEO Kirk Kerkorian; and Jobs’ longtime friend, Oracle CEO Larry Ellison. Ellison left the board in 2002; York died in 2010. Campbell is still a director.

Jobs also rebuilt the executive team, installing key technical managers from NeXT who would help him guide Apple’s strategy over the next decade. They included Jon Rubinstein, who had run NeXT’s hardware engineering, and Avie Tevanian, the young software engineer who helped create NeXT’s operating system.

Rubinstein went on to lead Apple’s iPod division before departing for smartphone maker Palm Inc., while Tevanian served as chief software technology officer. Jobs also found talent within Apple, singling out a British-born designer named Jonathan Ive to lead industrial design.

As a show of Jobs’s not-in-it-for-the-money drive to fix Apple, he insisted on getting paid $1 a year, a salary package that continued for the remainder of his career.

Jobs’s remuneration instead came mainly from stock options, restricted stock and an $84 million Gulfstream V jet, given to him by the board in 2000.

Billionaire Jobs’s net worth was at least $6.7 billion as of Sept. 6, according to Bloomberg estimates. His 7.4 percent Disney stake was worth $4.4 billion, and his 5.5 million shares of Apple were worth $2.1 billion. Jobs’s 138 million shares of Disney had paid him at least $242 million in dividends before taxes since 2006, according to Bloomberg data.

Stock options let holders buy shares later, usually at the trading price on the day the options were granted. Like other Silicon Valley executives, Jobs viewed the securities as a necessary incentive to keep valuable employees.

“That’s the key asset Apple has -- is its talent,” Jobs would later say in a March 2008 deposition with the Securities and Exchange Commission. “I was very concerned that Apple could really suffer some big losses on its executive team with the business environment we were in, and the competitors coming after our people.”

And like hundreds of other technology companies, Apple engaged in “backdating,” or retroactively changing grant dates to those with lower stock prices. The practice could artificially boost employee compensation and ran the risk of shielding compensation costs from investors. It came under scrutiny by the SEC.

Jobs admitted in 2006 to recommending some favorable dates on options other than his own. A special committee of Apple’s board exonerated him of any misconduct, and the SEC said in April 2007 that Apple wouldn’t be sanctioned.

“Jobs was one of these CEOs who ran the company like he wanted to -- he believed he knew more about it than anyone else, and he probably did,” Arthur Levitt, a former chairman of the SEC, said in a February 2009 interview.

Levitt said that around the time of the two grants that got Apple in trouble, Jobs invited him to join the company’s board - - then disinvited him because his views on corporate governance were “too independent, too doctrinaire” for Jobs.

Levitt also praised Jobs.

“He’s among the best CEOs I’ve ever known, in spite of his irreverence, irascibility and ego,” Levitt said.

When Jobs returned to Apple in 1997, he was still an exacting connoisseur of design. Only now, he demonstrated an understanding that he needed to place his bets carefully. He culled the company’s product line, killing money-losing projects such as the Newton personal digital assistant. He ended the Mac “clone” program that let other computer makers install Apple’s operating system on their machines; he called the welcoming of clones an “ill-conceived” move that undercut Apple’s own Mac hardware sales.

“We’re always thinking about new markets we could enter,” Jobs told BusinessWeek magazine in 2004. “But it’s only by saying no that you can concentrate on the things that are really important.”

“How he looked at things from a product perspective is very rare,” said Ed Zander, a CEO of Motorola Inc. before it split into two companies. “You don’t find many CEOs who have the attention to detail from the product experience point of view -- and understand the business side of the house.”

The first tangible result of Jobs’ return was the iMac, which he introduced at the Flint Center in Cupertino, California, in 1998. The iMac looked like no other computer: It was a bulbous, sci-fi looking number encased in translucent plastic. The unveiling that day had all the usual language of a Jobs keynote -- the iMac was “beautiful,” “cool,” and “a really big deal.”

The iMac would become Apple’s best-selling desktop ever, according to the company. The decision to offer the computer in five colors flew in the face of the then-common industry practice of packaging machines in easy-to-manufacture -- if dull -- beige boxes.

“I remember scratching my head at the time, when Apple first came out with those first little colored desktop Macs, the iMacs,” said Blake Johnson, an assistant professor in engineering at Stanford University. “But the message and splash of five different colors was a conscious decision -- okay, we have some supply chain inefficiencies, but those are more than offset by the positive impact on customers.”

Apple was profitable again by 1998, and over the next decade released a series of blockbusters that went beyond traditional computing. The iPod media player and the iPhone were beautiful objects that ignited consumer lust in Apple’s sparsely elegant -- and typically crowded -- retail stores. Jobs dropped “Computer” from the company name in 2007 at the time he unveiled the iPhone.

Beneath the contours of Ive’s designs were two less obvious achievements. The first was the software that made all those devices work together.

All of it was rooted in a single operating system, OS X, which had its beginnings in Tevanian’s work at NeXT. Apple’s great strength, Jobs would say repeatedly, was that it was a software company.

“An iPod is really just software,” Jobs said at the All Things D technology conference in 2007. “It’s in a beautiful box -- but it’s software. If you look at what a Mac is, it’s OS X. It’s in a beautiful box, but it’s OS X. And if you look at what an iPhone will hopefully be, it’s software.”

The other big achievement was Jobs’ ability to create hits by getting industry partners to do his bidding. For the iTunes music store, he not only demanded that the major music labels sell their product over the Internet, but do so at a single price, 99 cents a song.

He convinced AT&T Inc. to modify its network to handle the iPhone’s many features in exchange for exclusive rights to sell the iPhone to U.S. buyers. Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)’s wireless division started selling the iPhone in February 2011.

“The AT&Ts and Verizons of the world want to control the software, product, the brand, the colors, where the keyboard goes, the pricing, the distribution,” said Zander, the former Motorola CEO, who partnered with Jobs on an early music-playing phone. “Here comes Steve and he says to AT&T, you get the product but I get the brand, I get the colors, I get the software, I get the distribution pretty much, I get the pricing.”

Apple’s iPhone became the world’s best-selling smartphone in the second quarter of 2011.

Jobs said in 2004 that he had been diagnosed and treated for a neuroendocrine tumor in his pancreas. After surgery to remove an islet cell tumor, he took a month off to recuperate and declared himself healthy and cancer free.

For a few years he looked that way. He was thinner, which was no surprise after what he’d been through. One person who knew him well said that the cancer scare didn’t slow him down, convince him to spend more time with family or reconnect with friends. If anything, Jobs seemed to get even more engaged with work, said this person, who wished to remain anonymous because the matter was private.

During the 2005 Stanford commencement address, Jobs described how the inevitability of death was a motivating force in his life.

“Remembering you are going to die is the best way I know to avoid the trap of thinking you have something to lose. You are already naked; there is no reason not to follow your heart,” he said.

Reports of Death Jobs’s appearance changed noticeably by early 2008. He started looking gaunt. Tech blogs bubbled with discussion about what was going on. Typical headlines: “The Incredible Shrinking Apple CEO,” and “ Why Does Steve Jobs Look So Thin?

When he took the stage at Apple events, Jobs joked about his health. In August of that year, Bloomberg News erroneously published an obituary; at a product launch a month later he recited the Mark Twain line that reports of his death were greatly exaggerated. At another event that year, he projected a slide of his blood pressure.

In January 2009, Jobs said that his weight loss was caused by a “hormone imbalance”; nine days later, he began a five- month medical leave, handing control of the company to his COO, Tim Cook. Later that year, he underwent a liver transplant at Methodist University Hospital in Memphis.

Apple’s disclosures -- or lack thereof -- around Jobs’s health became a matter of debate among investors and corporate governance experts. Some said that because his health was critical to the company’s success, Apple should have said more, sooner. The counterargument: privacy laws trump investors’ right to know the details of his health.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission officials examined in 2009 whether the company violated disclosure rules regarding Jobs’s medical status, a person familiar with the matter said at the time. No legal action was taken.

While Jobs was on leave that year, Apple came under competitive pressure from an unexpected source: Google Inc. (GOOG) The search giant, whose then-CEO Eric Schmidt was an Apple board member, had gotten into the smartphone business with its Android operating system.

Unlike the iPhone, Android phones were made by multiple manufacturers. The budding rivalry evoked the Mac vs. PC showdowns of the 1980s. It pitted a company -- Apple -- that made one kind of device against an array of manufacturers orbiting around a software operating system -- in this case, Google’s Android.

By the time Jobs returned to work in June, several Android devices were on the market. Google’s Schmidt resigned from Apple’s board in August, acknowledging the escalating tension between the two companies.

“The economic engine that Steve built is an amazing one in terms of cash generation, global footprint distribution,” Schmidt said in an interview with Charlie Rose after Jobs’s death. “It is just one of the great American success stories.”

Jobs the following year introduced his next epoch-making product: the iPad. The run-up was full of the buzz that greeted past products. What would it look like? What would it do? Only a select handful of developers and media companies got access to pre-release versions of the iPad, and then only under strict conditions. Recipients had to agree to keep the devices tethered to a fixed object in rooms that blacked-out windows.

At the product unveiling, Jobs said that the tablet computer would go on sale later that year, calling it “magical.” The public agreed: Apple sold more than 300,000 iPads on day one, and within a few months the device had a near monopoly share of the tablet market that companies led by Microsoft had failed to crack for a decade.

Another momentous product was in store for 2010. The iPhone 4 boasted a glass front and back and a brushed-steel band around the edge. It also came with a front-facing camera that would allow mobile videoconferencing.

While the iPhone 4 was destined for success, this time there was a glitch. Customers who held the phone a certain way experienced dropped phone calls -- the “death grip,” it was called.

At first, Apple denied anything was wrong and suggested that customers were holding the phone incorrectly. The flaw snowballed into a public-relations crisis that came to be known as “Antennagate,” stoked by longtime grumbling over service quality on the network of AT&T, then the only U.S. iPhone carrier.

By July, Jobs had changed his tune. He apologized to customers and offered free “bumpers,” rubber cases that fit around the metal edge of the phone, so that fingertips wouldn’t cause any antenna interference.

The imbroglio had little impact on iPhone demand. Apple sold 1.7 million iPhone 4s during the first three days it was on sale; by the end of the year, the iPhone would represent nearly 40 percent of revenue.

During the introduction of a new MacBook Air in October 2010, Jobs appeared thinner than ever. Three months later, Jobs said he would be taking a new leave of absence to “focus on my health.” “I love Apple so much and hope to be back as soon as I can,” he said.

For the third time since 2004, Cook took over day-to-day operations. He oversaw the introduction of the second version of the iPad and introduced a music-storage service called iCloud. He traveled to China to discuss the iPhone with China Mobile Ltd. (941), the country’s largest mobile-phone carrier.

Jobs announced his resignation Aug. 24. “I have always said if there ever came a day when I could no longer meet my duties and expectations as Apple’s CEO, I would be the first to let you know,” Jobs said in a statement. “Unfortunately, that day has come.”

In the weeks preceding his resignation, Jobs was largely housebound, according to a person familiar with the matter.

“Under Steve’s leadership Apple has not only revolutionized the computer industry but also transformed how the world communicates, plays, shops and works,” Frank Quattrone, CEO of Qatalyst Partners LLP, a Silicon Valley investment bank, said at the time. “In the entrepreneur hall of fame, he is the charter member. He is, and will remain, an inspiration to the world.”

Cook became CEO for good. While Cook had mastered an expanding list of operational roles, including manufacturing, distribution, sales and customer service, he hadn’t demonstrated Jobs’s penchant for product vision.

In the post-Jobs era, that role would lie more squarely with head product designer Ive, who oversaw the development of devices including the iMac, iPod, iPhone and iPad.

Rounding out the executive team are Scott Forstall, who is in charge of the iOS software that powers the iPhone and iPad; Philip Schiller, who leads product marketing; Bob Mansfield, who heads Mac hardware engineering; and Chief Financial Officer Peter Oppenheimer, who is tasked with overseeing Apple’s more than $75 billion in cash and long-term holdings.

Jobs left a company with a market value larger than that of Microsoft and Dell combined. Apple’s revenue reached a record $65 billion in fiscal 2010, with analysts predicting that they will exceed $100 billion in 2011.

Besides relying on surging demand for the iPhone and iPad, Apple is also counting on growth in China. “We’re just scratching the surface right now,” Cook said of the region in July. The company is also due to sell a new service called iCloud that will let users access photos, videos and other content across an array of Apple products.

The Apple Jobs left behind was well suited to confront the challenges it then faced, including the Google threat, largely because of a product lineup Jobs set in motion, analysts and investors said at the time of his resignation. The concern is whether the company can produce industry-disrupting devices long after Jobs’s influence recedes.

“The world rarely sees someone who has had the profound impact Steve has had, the effects of which will be felt for many generations to come,” Bill Gates said after his passing. “Steve and I first met nearly 30 years ago, and have been colleagues, competitors and friends over the course of more than half our lives.”

At the AllThingsD conference in 2007, Gates had said, “I’d give a lot to have Steve’s taste. The way he does things is just different and, you know, I think it’s magical.”...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-05/steve-jobs-who-built-most-valuable-technology-company-passes-away-at-56.html



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/6/2011 10:49:08 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
'You've got to find what you love,' Jobs says:

This is a prepared text of the Commencement address delivered by Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple Computer and of Pixar Animation Studios, on June 12, 2005...

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2005/june15/jobs-061505.html

____________

Video of Steve Jobs' 2005 Stanford Commencement Address

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UF8uR6Z6KLc



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/6/2011 2:46:03 PM
From: kumar1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2955
 
Jobs & HP :

edition.cnn.com

"....As a teenager, he phoned William Hewlett, president of Hewlett-Packard, to request parts for a school project. He got them, along with an offer of a summer job at HP.....While at HP, Jobs befriended Steve Wozniak, who impressed him with his skill at assembling electronic components. The two later joined a Silicon Valley computer hobbyists club, and when he was 21, Jobs teamed with Wozniak and two other men to launch Apple Computer Inc......"



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/14/2011 5:43:54 PM
From: kumar1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2955
 
Dennis Ritchie, RIP...

wired.com

(We can thank Dennis Ritchie, Ken Thompson, Brian Kernighan - for the infrastructure we have - and take for granted - today)



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/24/2011 4:14:58 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Apple: Street Now Convinced They'll Soon Make TVs

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericsavitz/2011/10/24/apple-street-now-convinced-theyll-soon-make-tvs/



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/25/2011 11:47:16 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
For Oracle CEO Larry Ellison, 10 Questions on Strategy

http://www.forbes.com/sites/sap/2011/10/25/for-oracle-ceo-larry-ellison-10-questions-on-strategy/

___________________

Larry Ellison and Marc Benioff Just Can't Agree: What Is the Cloud?

http://www.forbes.com/sites/sap/2011/09/06/larry-ellison-and-marc-benioff-just-cant-agree-what-is-the-cloud/



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)10/25/2011 12:12:18 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Aneel Bhusri’s Workday Raises $85 Million at a Whopping $2 Billion Valuation

http://allthingsd.com/20111024/aneel-bhusris-workday-raises-85-million-at-a-whopping-2-billion-valuation/

10/24/11 -- It’s beginning to look like this whole enterprise software-in-the-cloud thing might just go somewhere. For the latest evidence, look no further than Workday, the fast-growing provider of human resources software as a service.

Today, Workday will announce that it has just raised $85 million in new financing, bringing its total amount of capital raised to $250 million. Sources familiar with the terms of the deal tell me that the investments value Workday at $2 billion.

The funding round isn’t coming from traditional venture capital players, but from institutional investors who will want to be shareholders of Workday when it goes public in the second half of next year. The round, which is being described as a Series F, includes T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Janus, and Bezos Expeditions, the personal investment entity of Amazon CEO and founder Jeff Bezos.

I’m also told, by sources familiar with the deal, that William Danoff, the manager of Fidelity’s $80 billion Contrafund, the mutual fund giant’s largest stock-based fund, has participated in this funding round. This would be the Contrafund’s third recent investment in a privately held Internet company, the other two being Facebook and Zynga. In fact, it’s the same group of funds that took part in a huge round with social gaming force Zynga in February; in Groupon in January; and which earlier this year bought nearly three million shares of Facebook for $25 each.

Previous investors include Dave Duffield and Greylock Partners, who are in for $90 million across four rounds; and New Enterprise Associates, which joined a $75 million Series E round in 2009.

Why raise from institutionals and not VCs? “Because Workday is going to go public, and probably before the end of next year,” Bhusri told me. “Rather than do a round that adds an overhang to the existing capital structure, this is a group of investors who will likely buy more in the IPO,” he said. “In some ways, it’s an early debut of an IPO.”

And while there’s no S-1 filing from Workday to peruse just yet, Bhusri told me that Workday is growing plenty fast. Having disclosed $160 million in billings in 2010, Workday, he says, is on track to do twice that — or about $320 million in 2011 — and that it’s close to breaking even. So this round of capital is insurance. With the world economy so out of joint, if no logical window for an IPO emerges in 2012 — a reasonable worry — then Workday won’t be forced, should the need arise, to raise more capital in a difficult market.

So what is Workday, exactly? For the answer, you have to turn the clock back to 2004, when the software giant Oracle made its initial hostile bid to take over PeopleSoft. Bhusri was a senior executive and co-chairman of PeopleSoft’s board. After losing the battle to resist Oracle, he and co-founder Dave Duffield decided that the next battle for enterprise software would be in the cloud. Workday was born within months of their departure from PeopleSoft.

The plan, Bhusri says, was to create the next generation of PeopleSoft’s software, or the next generation of SAP’s Human Resources and Enterprise Resource planning software — essentially, software that businesses need to run day to day. But rather than deliver it in the traditional manner — run it on machines at the customer’s location — it’s all delivered via the cloud. “It’s as if you were going to start over with a clean sheet of paper and design this kind of software all over again,” Bhusri says.

And Workday’s customers aren’t exactly small players. Its average customer has between 10,000 and 15,000 employees. Among its 250-odd customers, the biggest is Flextronics, the huge electronics manufacturing company, which has 200,000 employees. Other customers include Time Warner, Thomson Reuters, Chiquita Brands, and perhaps unsurprisingly, Salesforce.com. There are some two million employees on the system. All that after only four years of actively selling the product.

And what Workday sells is a system that tends not to get replaced very often in large companies — perhaps once a decade. That gives the company an advantage when it asks for contract commitments that last three years; most cloud companies offer their services on a pay-as-you-go basis.

Workday’s targets are Bhusri’s old customers who bought PeopleSoft software to run their businesses one product generation back, and also those who run SAP software. So when a new customer signs on it’s usually one or the other being displaced. Other rivals include Lawson, Infor and, occasionally, the payroll giant ADP.

The typical new customer, Bhusri said, is using one of those other platforms and is ready to upgrade. “To upgrade to the newest version, they get a price quote that’s so high they start looking for a better way,” he says. “That’s when they find us.”

And Workday isn’t sitting still with HR software. Its next battle will be in financial planning software that companies rely on to handle money — accounting, expenses, procurement. Workday already has 50 customers running the financial stuff. Once they try Workday’s HR, they like what they see, making for an easy upsell. Others just swap out both the HR and financial parts in one go, Bhusri said. And the competitive targets are the same as well: Oracle and SAP. One wonders if they aren’t just a little worried.



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)11/11/2011 5:10:34 PM
From: stockman_scott1 Recommendation  Respond to of 2955
 
Microsoft's Next Act:
__________________________________________________________________________________

By DIMITRA DEFOTIS

Barron's Weekday Trader | THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 2011

Shares of the software giant should get a lift from the next iteration of Windows.

Microsoft is the mega ship among global software producers. And the cost of passage is a bargain among tech stocks.

The stock trades as if the debut of its new operating software, Windows 8, during the second half of next year won't generate any meaningful growth. But over the next 12 months, Windows 8 should prove a stock catalyst.

Trading near $26.28, shares of Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) have declined about 3% in the past year, underperforming the broader market. But they could have more than 20% upside in the coming year, thanks to its soon-to-be-realized earnings growth.

Setting aside Windows 8, Microsoft should continue to benefit as customers upgrade existing software for servers and personal computers. And the company's other consumer-driven investments, from Xbox to Internet phone provider Skype, showcase its ability to stay relevant.

"Microsoft growth is misvalued," says Brian Nelson, portfolio manager of Invesco Charter Fund, which owns the stock. "We don't expect material revenue contributions for Windows 8 in 2012, but it is important for sentiment, and for revenue growth in 2013 and beyond."

Over the next 12 months, Nelson sees margin-expansion opportunities for Microsoft.

Microsoft is expected to produce net income of $23.3 billion on revenue of $75 billion in the current fiscal year ending in June 2012, representing a tiny increase over fiscal 2011. Analysts expect a nearly 3% increase in earnings to $2.78 per share for fiscal 2012, with growth of 11% to $3.08 per share in fiscal 2013.

Trading at 9.4 times the fiscal 2012 estimate, Microsoft is cheap. The company is also a cash cow: it had more than $57 billion in cash on its balance sheet at the end of September, and it recently increased the payout by 25%.

The current yield is 3%, and aggressive share repurchases are likely to continue, offsetting consistent sales by Chairman Bill Gates.

Gates owns more than 520 million Microsoft shares, or 6% of shares outstanding; he sold 20 million shares in October as part of a planned selling program. CEO Steven Ballmer owns a nearly 4% stake.

One big plus for Windows 8: It gives consumers touch capability. That should result in a whole new generation of tablets and lightweight laptops for professionals.

Barrons.com talked with one Wall Street analyst traveling with Microsoft management this week who continues to be impressed with Windows 8 on a Samsung tablet, including its handwriting-recognition capabilities.

Tablet-laptop combinations should be hot by the end of 2012, if they are priced well and boast enough features that differentiate from the competition. The next generation of devices will likely be lightweight, and with features including screens that flip, fast on-off power, and longer battery life.

Apple (AAPL) and its iPad and notebook are a force to reckon with, though Apple is consumed with Apple TV. The Kindle Fire, the latest tablet from Amazon.com (AMZN), is priced at around $200 and offers a color touch screen. Microsoft continues to challenge the Android operating system from Google (GOOG), and has accused Barnes & Noble (BKS) of infringing on patents with its Nook reader.

Microsoft's partnership with Nokia (NOK) also is likely to bear fruit. The touch-screen Lumia phones, unveiled in October, incorporate Windows and are being sold in Europe and Asia, with expanded sales to include the U.S. in 2012.

Analysts caution that Microsoft is likely to be conservative in its expectations for Windows 8 in early 2012. Later in the year, missteps or shipment numbers that are lower than expected could hurt the stock, even if earnings and margins are on the rise.

But some analysts think investors should own Microsoft before the big consumer technology trade show, CES, in early January. Nomura Equity Research has a price target of $32.

And as Windows 8 hits the shelves in devices from July to September of 2012, the stock should start to reflect this burgeoning "ecosystem" as techies call the marriage of software, hardware and other elements that help Microsoft succeed.

In the meantime, investors get an outsize yield for a tech stock. And with a software cycle puffing up its sail next year, Microsoft stock looks attractive in the waters of a choppy market.



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)11/14/2011 4:35:40 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Apple's Operational Excellence

theinvestmentsblog.blogspot.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)11/14/2011 4:44:07 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Buffett on IBM: Berkshire Buys "Big Blue"

http://theinvestmentsblog.blogspot.com/2011/11/buffett-on-ibm-berkshire-buys-big-blue.html

Monday, November 14, 2011

This morning on CNBC, Warren Buffett revealed that Berkshire Hathaway ( BRKa) had accumulated a large stake in IBM ( IBM).

The sheer size of the purchase is, in itself, news. That Buffett is buying a technology company at some scale even more so.

How things seem to have changed.

It's clear that the valuation landscape of some larger capitalization technology franchises is nothing like a decade ago.

Many these days are very inexpensive with quite a few even selling at price to earnings ratios in the single digits.

According to Buffett, the number of shares of IBM bought by Berkshire was around 64 million at an average price of ~$ 170/share.

So the actual amount invested in IBM looks to be somewhat less than $ 11 billion.

As of Friday's close, the share price of IBM was $ 187.38/share meaning, at this time, the shares are now worth more like $ 12 billion.

Even considering Berkshire's size, this is certainly a very large stock purchase.

To put it in perspective, at Friday's closing price here is how the new stake in IBM compares to the size of his three other large holdings*, Coca-Cola ( KO), Well Fargo ( WFC), and American Express ( AXP) are as follows:

Coca-Cola: $ 13.6 Billion
IBM: $ 12.0 Billion
Wells Fargo: $ 9.0 Billion
American Express: $ 7.6 Billion

Those 4 stocks now make up roughly two thirds of the entire $ 60 billion plus Berkshire Hathaway domestic equity portfolio.

It will be interesting to learn over time what Buffett sees as IBM's durable competitive advantage(s).

Historically, Buffett has made it clear why he avoids things like technology businesses. He prefers industries with little change. On many past occasions, he has explained how difficult he finds it to gauge the economic durability of most technology businesses.

...you will see that we favor businesses and industries unlikely to experience major change. The reason for that is simple: Making either type of purchase, we are searching for operations that we believe are virtually certain to possess enormous competitive strength ten or twenty years from now. A fast-changing industry environment may offer the chance for huge wins, but it precludes the certainty we seek. - Warren Buffett in the 1996 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter

What's the economic moat? What is it going to look like in ten years or so? Bigger or smaller? By their nature, tech businesses often reside in a rapidly changing and competitive industry environment.

Now, the IBM of today is nothing like old-school IBM. The company's model now places more emphasis on providing higher margin software and service to IT departments, less on the brutally competitive lower margin hardware business.

The current way of doing business would seem to offer more flexibility, utilizing IBM's expertise to adapt to changes in the technology landscape.

In the interview, Buffett did say "I've probably read the annual report of IBM every year for 50 years" and that this year he "got a different slant on it."

Buffett also said he checked with the IT departments of the company's Berkshire owns:

"...to see how their IT departments functioned and why they made the decisions they made. I just came away with a different view of the position that IBM holds within IT departments and why they hold it and the stickiness and a whole bunch of things."

He was also complimentary of the share buybacks that have been done over the years. IBM has reduced the share count substantially since year end 2006 with shares outstanding reduced from over 1.55 billion to 1.19 billion in less than five years.

Still, hearing a more comprehensive explanation at some point of how he sees IBM meeting the "certainty we seek" threshold noted above will be of some interest.

He did equate, to some degree, coming to the IBM party late so to speak and his changing view of railroads over time.

IBM currently sells for slightly more than 14x earnings so, while not expensive, not nearly as cheap as some other large cap technology companies.

It's not the first time he seemed to be buying at higher prices. From the interview:

"We bought railroads on highs..."

and

"I bought control of GEICO at its all-time high."

As investments, in both cases, these worked out okay.

He started buying the shares back in March but, since sometimes the SEC allows Berkshire's buying to be kept confidential, the position wasn't known until he disclosed it today. Permission is granted by the SEC when a case can be made that the disclosure may cause buyers to drive up the price before Berkshire makes its additional purchases.

Adam



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)11/19/2011 9:35:53 PM
From: stockman_scott4 Recommendations  Respond to of 2955
 
6 Things Jeff Bezos Knew Back in 1997 That Made Amazon a Gorilla

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2011/11/16/6-things-jeff-bezos-knew-back-in-1997-that-made-amazon-a-gorilla/



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)12/2/2011 5:11:26 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Cloud Computing as a Threat to Older Tech Companies

By QUENTIN HARDY
New York Times
December 1, 2011

The International Data Corporation, whose technology analysis and predictions influence a lot of corporate purchases, foresees the creation of a new high-technology industry in the convergence of mobile devices, social networking, and cloud-based computing and data storage. As a result, the company says in a new study, many industry giants will scramble to sustain relevance, and some upstarts will achieve leadership positions or be purchased.

Frank Gens, IDC’s chief analyst, who led the study, said, “The incumbents are facing a huge transition.”

Spending on the new technologies will reach nearly $700 billion, or about 20 percent of the $3.5 trillion in hardware, software, and services spent on information technology worldwide, IDC said. As a great deal of spending in the sector goes toward maintaining older systems, such a share for relatively new technologies is surprising. Spending on the new technologies is growing six times that of traditional computer servers and personal computers, IDC said, and by 2020 will be 80 percent industry growth.

Much of the new development will also take place in emerging markets such as China, IDC said. It predicted that 28 percent of overall spending, and 53 percent of the industry’s growth, would come from outside the United States, Japan, and Western Europe. By mid- 2012, China is expected to be the world’s second largest consumer of information technology, eclipsing Japan.

If the IDC predictions bear out, the technology industry is in the midst of perhaps its fastest-ever transition. Earlier transitions, like the move from mainframe and mini computers to personal computers and client-server technologies, led to the rise of giants like Oracle and Microsoft, and the downfall of older stalwarts, like Digital Equipment Corp. and Wang Laboratories.

This time will be no different, Mr. Gens said, adding: “Hewlett-Packard will be challenged. Microsoft, Intel, SAP, RIM, Oracle, Cisco, Dell – they are all facing the next transition, competing to be around in 2020. At least a third will fade away.”

Among the notable claims in the forecast, IDC said that spending on hardware, software and services in cloud computing systems alone will be $60 billion in 2012. The growth rate in this sector is about four and a half times that of the industry overall. About $36 billion of that was projected spending for companies providing cloud services to businesses, from companies like Amazon.com, Salesforce.com and Google, and the balance will be from “arms dealers,” supplying things like servers and networking gear. Amazon, which does not formally break out how much it makes from selling corporate computing services over the Internet, will make over $1 billion in that business next year, IDC said.

Mobile devices, which earlier this year outshipped personal computers worldwide, will in 2012 generate more revenue than PCs for the first time, IDC said. Shipments of mobile devices will outstrip PCs by two to one, and 85 million mobile applications, or apps, will be downloaded. More money will be spent on mobile data networks than on networks tethered by lines.

The rapid transition to mobile, driven by an explosion of tablet computers, will challenge both traditional computer software companies like Microsoft and beneficiaries like Apple, which is seeing the dominance of its iOS operating system challenged by the open source Android operating system developed by Google.

“By 2013 we’ll know who the leaders are,” Mr. Gens said. “Android will be there, iOS will be there – will Windows 8 put Microsoft there? By the end of the year we’ll know if putting a PC operating system onto mobile was a good idea.”

Amazon’s Kindle Fire, which IDC said would take 20 percent of the tablet market in 2012, will be a particularly successful device. While the Fire runs on Android, Google has no involvement with the product. Mr. Gens called the Fire “a phenomenal content device,” which he predicted Amazon will produce in larger formats that will make it more useful for business functions like creating and sending data in a couple of years.

The increasing number of people and machines online will additionally create an explosion of digital data. IDC said that the amount of data stored in 2012 would increase 48 percent from 2011, to 2.7 zetabytes, or 2.7 billion terabytes. By 2015, the firm said, the total will be 8 zetabytes.

These changes will likely prompt incumbents rich in cash but possibly challenged in relevance to acquire newer companies, Mr. Gens said. “IBM, Microsoft and Oracle all have to be cloud providers,” he said. “Microsoft needs a content and media cloud, like Netflix,” he said, adding that “smaller independent service providers like NetSuite, Workday, Taleo, and Success Factors will get bought up in the next six to ten months.”

Copyright 2011 The New York Times Company

bits.blogs.nytimes.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)12/9/2011 12:50:57 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Steve Jobs - He Knew "It was Personal"

http://www.bulgerviews.com/

October 7, 2011

In the mid 90's the biggest technology companies in the world all knew that the revolution was over and that the ”PC” business had matured – the innovation phase had ended and it was all about cost reduction and marketing.

Then, IBM saw that its CEO/CIO clients had lost interest in employee machines and quit the business. DEC focused billions on a single chip inside their machine and then folded. Compaq fired some engineers and hired a few extra finance executives and consolidated. And Henry Ford was reincarnated in the person of Michael Dell who understood that winning this phase of the “PC” industry would happen on the factory (and call center) floor.

Of course, nobody needs to go to a store just shop for a commodity – toilet paper is toilet paper – a PC is a PC – and you don’t need to consult an salesperson to decide what color cover to put on you Dell notebook. So CompUSA and the other PC stores were no longer needed and they died of natural causes.

Meanwhile in Redmond, they were celebrating the safety of their position safe above the fray of the hardware guys and had their “leadership” focused on defending their cash flows against innovative disruption. People start flocking to browsers – they gave one away – people start flocking to search engines – same – people start playing computer games on dedicated machines – they built one. Follow and imitate to protect the rent money.

The foregoing history is an over-simplification – but it is accurate. 100's of billions of dollars were being spent by America’s technology companies on R&D, product marketing and strategic planning all while embracing the absolute truth that PC’s were a commodity with no possibility of achieving competitive advantage by providing the customer with a better experience. The world’s leading tech companies were focused on CEO’s/CIO’s or faster chips or more efficient factories or protecting monopolies or anything but the Persons using the machines. They were all wrong. As it turns out, in the mid 90's the PC was just beginning its innovation phase.

The PC revolution had just begun and if you gave the customer a better experience, you could still create the most valuable company in the world. Steve Jobs knew it. Apple has always been about the user and the computer. Make no mistake – the iPod is a computer – a PERSONAL computer with hardware and software totally optimized for listening to music. The iPhone and iPad are PERSONAL computers as well.

Ironic that as it turns out, the Mac was the only PC because Steve knew “it was Personal.”

RIP



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)12/11/2011 9:56:11 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Pincus Faceoff With Zuckerberg Shows Fearsome Prelude to Zynga’s IPO:

By Douglas MacMillan
Bloomberg
Dec 11, 2011

When Zynga Inc. reached an impasse while negotiating a five-year partnership with Facebook Inc. in August 2010, Chief Executive Officer Mark Pincus demanded a one- on-one meeting with Mark Zuckerberg.

The two CEOs ate dinner at the Facebook cafeteria and held a freewheeling discussion until 2 a.m. Over the course of the meeting and two other marathon sessions that followed, Pincus convinced Zuckerberg that Zynga’s games would help Facebook add users and revenue. They forged a deal that threw Facebook’s support behind Zynga, in exchange for a cut of sales.

Pincus’s negotiating prowess -- Google Inc. Chairman Eric Schmidt calls it “fearsome” -- helped put his company on course for a $1 billion initial public offering this month. The challenge now is keeping up that intensity at a publicly held company, where Pincus will contend with more scrutiny and less control over the business he started more than four years ago.

“One of the big questions for anybody going public is, ‘Can they maintain their long-term focus?’” Zuckerberg, whose own company is slated to hold its IPO next year, said in an interview. “I just don’t think that’s a big issue with Mark because he can deal with the pain of any short-term hit to power through and get to where he wants to go. I hope I’m the same way. That’s definitely something I’ve learned from him.”

Persuading investors to bet long-term on Zynga is the next hurdle for Pincus, a veteran entrepreneur and former investment- banking analyst who is attempting to pull off the biggest IPO for an Internet company since Google’s debut (GOOG) in 2004.

Elder Statesman At 45, Pincus is 18 years older than Zuckerberg and twice the age of some startup founders in Silicon Valley. He has started five companies and invested in many more over the past two decades, helping him hone his negotiating skills and attention to analytical detail.

Zynga, founded in 2007, is the culmination of a career’s worth of lessons learned, said Marc Andreessen, a venture capitalist and co-founder of Netscape Communications Corp., who has invested in the startup.

“He has built a machine,” Andreessen said. “Google is a tightly wired business machine. Microsoft (MSFT) is a tightly wired business machine. Apple (AAPL) is too. Zynga is very much in the mold of those other companies.”

Bloomberg LP, the owner of Bloomberg News, is an investor in Andreessen Horowitz.

Virtual Goods

Zynga makes money by offering games for free and then charging for virtual items, such as a puppy in “FarmVille” or an assault rifle in “Mafia Wars.” About 6.7 million of Zynga users were paying customers in the first nine months of the year, up from 5.1 million a year earlier. Revenue more than doubled to $828.9 million in the period. Unlike Groupon Inc. and some other recent IPOs, Zynga is profitable, though its net income has decreased this year as Pincus steps up spending on overhead, marketing and product development.

Pincus also has clashed with board members and employees over his career. He has alienated some Zynga staffers by pushing them to work long hours. A few employees were asked to return unvested equity because their potential rewards didn’t match what they were contributing to the business, said Roger Dickey, one of the first 30 workers at Zynga and the creator of “Mafia Wars.”

“Mark didn’t get where he is by being a softie,” said Dickey, who left the company earlier this year and now works as a startup investor.

‘Every Horrible Thing’

Pincus has said himself that he went too far at times, especially in Zynga’s early days.

“I did every horrible thing in the book just to get revenues,” including giving users virtual credits in exchange for downloading software that was later difficult to delete, he said during a talk in 2009 in Berkeley, California.

“He has a reputation for being an a--hole,” said Alex St. John, president and chief technology officer at Hi5 Networks, a social-gaming site. St. John adds that he hasn’t met Pincus and doesn’t share this view.

Dani Dudeck, a spokeswoman for San Francisco-based Zynga, declined to make Pincus available for comment on this story, citing the pre-IPO quiet period mandated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Pincus grew up in Chicago’s affluent Lincoln Park neighborhood, the son of an architect mother and a father who worked as a public-relations adviser to CEOs and politicians. After studying economics at the University of Pennsylvania, he took jobs in banking, working at Lazard Freres & Co. and Asian Capital Partners, an investment bank based in Hong Kong. He then went on to get an MBA at Harvard University with the idea of going back into the business world on his own.

Dot-Com Era

Pincus moved to San Francisco in 1995 to capitalize on the beginnings of the dot-com boom. He persuaded venture capitalist Fred Wilson to invest $250,000 in FreeLoader Inc., an Internet service for personalized news that Pincus founded with his friend, Sunil Paul. Wilson gave Pincus a few months to make back his money. After seven months, FreeLoader was sold for $38 million to Individual Inc., a company that delivered news online.

Pincus’s next startup was Support.com Inc., which helped businesses diagnose and fix problems with computers from remote locations. Founded in 1997, it went public in 2000.

Pincus left his CEO post -- and, eventually, the company -- amid tension with the board, according to two people with knowledge of the situation. Zynga’s Dudeck declined to comment on the matter.

Unauthorized Projects

When the Support.com board brought in former Hewlett- Packard Co. (HPQ) executive Radha Basu as the new CEO, Pincus asked engineers to work on weekends so he could give them projects not authorized by Basu, said one of the people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named.

After Support.com, Pincus focused on investing in new startups, including Brightmail Inc., Napster Inc. and Friendster Inc. In 2000, he bought Eric Schmidt’s airplane, a single-engine Beechcraft Bonanza, and devoted more time to his hobby of flying. He also invested in a movie, 2001’s “Kissing Jessica Stein,” which grossed more than $7 million on a $1 million budget, according to the Internet Movie Database.

Pincus made an early bet on the social-networking craze when he started Tribe Networks Inc. in 2003. Though the company was sold to Cisco Systems Inc. in 2007 before gaining wide popularity, it helped established Pincus as a predictor of technology trends, said Marc Benioff, founder and CEO of Salesforce.com Inc.

Social Experience

“He has been doing social for almost a decade,” said Benioff, whose company now provides software to Zynga. “He was doing social when Mark Zuckerberg was still in high school.”

Pincus first met Zuckerberg in 2004, after Peter Thiel put out a call asking if any of his friends wanted to invest in Facebook. Aside from Reid Hoffman, the founder and chairman of LinkedIn Corp., the only person to go along with Thiel was Pincus.

“He had a pretty good intuition early on that this would grow into something,” Zuckerberg said.

After investing in Facebook, Pincus used Zynga to double- down on that bet. Facebook had just opened its site to outside developers, letting Zynga offer its “Texas HoldEm Poker” game to the social network’s burgeoning ranks of users.

Pincus staffed his company with managers skilled at analyzing data. Unlike traditional game developers, which spend millions of dollars producing a game and then ship it out, Pincus continually tinkers. The idea is to get users to play for longer periods and spend more money on virtual items.

Voting Power

This year, in a move that might help Pincus avoid a reprise of the board tension at Support.com, Zynga revamped its stock structure to give him 70 times more voting power than shares sold in the IPO. The change grants him more influence than other Silicon Valley founders, including Google’s Larry Page and Sergey Brin, who hold 10 times the voting power of investors.

Pincus often gets his way outside the boardroom as well, said Google’s Schmidt. In the summer of 2009, Pincus was seeking a partnership that led to Google buying a 3 percent stake in Zynga. When Pincus came to the negotiating table, he personally knew more about the proposed deal than everyone on the Google side of the table combined, according to Schmidt.

“He is a we’re-going-to-make-this-happen-or-else type of person,” Schmidt, who was Google’s CEO at the time, said in an interview. “He is a fearsome, strong negotiator.”

‘What About Us?’

In January of this year, when Twitter Inc. was negotiating with San Francisco to get a tax exception, Pincus sought the same terms.

“He said, ‘That’s good for Twitter, but what about us?’” Ed Lee, mayor of San Francisco, said in an interview.

Pincus helped organize a meeting at city hall with other technology executives, including Yelp Inc. CEO Jeremy Stoppelman, Riverbed Technology Inc. CEO Jerry Kennelly and prominent angel investor Ron Conway, along with representatives from about 30 other companies based in the city. Pincus led the group in pushing Mayor Lee to repeal the citywide tax, all but threatening to move Zynga out of the city if the tax remained, according to Lee.

“He said he would make it really hard for us to continue with the plans we would like to have here about expansion and about permanency,” Lee said. “I understood what he meant.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net

bloomberg.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)12/12/2011 2:25:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
A Leader in the Cloud Gains Rivals

By QUENTIN HARDY
New York Times
December 11, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO — For over a decade, Marc Benioff has had to listen to dismissals of the company he founded, Salesforce.com, as a marginal player in the business software industry.

But recently Salesforce has won the sincerest form of flattery known in tech: its competitors are spending billions of dollars to acquire firms that do the sort of thing it does, which is to offer business software as a kind of rental service using a cloud of computers inside the Internet.

Last Thursday, I.B.M. announced it would buy DemandTec, a cloud-based vendor of data analysis software for retailers, for $440 million. A week before that, SAP of Germany, one of the largest providers of traditional enterprise software, said it was paying $3.4 billion for SuccessFactors, which sells human resource software via the cloud. In October, the giant of traditional business software companies, Oracle, said it would acquire for about $1.5 billion RightNow Technologies, which uses cloud software for product research and customer service.

Mr. Benioff, the chief executive of Salesforce, is characteristically pleased with himself. “It’s great that Oracle and SAP are buying cloud companies,” he said, asking, “Do you think it will transform them?”

For Mr. Benioff, who co-founded Salesforce in 1999, the acquisitions are a vindication of his strategy. “Amazon Web Services is making over $1 billion in revenues with cloud software,” he said. “Google Apps is close to that. We’re on track for revenues of $3 billion in 2012. That is $5 billion, and that is what has them worried. Where are SAP, Microsoft, Oracle? Why haven’t they taken our customers?”

Much of the enterprise software industry, it’s true, has had a stagnant decade, and is looking for something new. Cloud is the new thing, but for many it means a big change in profits and how business is done.

Global spending on enterprise technology, forecast at $2.7 trillion for 2012, has been long dominated by corporate sales and use of personal computers tied to proprietary servers. The servers run software from SAP, Oracle and others that is sold to the companies as a licensed product, typically with large gross profit margins, then serviced for an even more profitable annual fee.

Cloud software is rented over the Internet at lower costs and margins. It is used by tablets and smartphones as well as PCs. The old giants, which arose by destroying the previous generation of mainframe and minicomputer companies, now face their own fight for relevance.

SAP, which in 2010 had $16.7 billion in revenue, plans to buy and acquire its way into the cloud business. “There is a lot of good marketing Benioff has done” for cloud computing, said Sanjay J. Poonen, president of global solutions for SAP. “Now that he has energized it, you’ll find bigger companies coming in.”

Besides the personnel software of SuccessFactors, he says, SAP will most likely offer cloud-based travel and expense management, accounting and collaboration software. In the old technology world, the German company is better known for its mastery of manufacturing and resource allocation software.

Oracle, with $35.6 billion in revenue, ousted Mr. Benioff from a planned keynote speech at its user conference in October amid mutual criticism by the two companies.

Lawrence J. Ellison, Oracle’s chief executive and a onetime mentor to Mr. Benioff, has compared Salesforce to a “roach motel” of products, and says Oracle’s cloud products will more easily work with software from other vendors. “Everyone’s got a cloud, we need a cloud,” Mr. Ellison said during the October conference. “Ours is a little different,” he added, “it supports full interoperability.”

The transition from one form of corporate software to another is hard, says John Wookey, who worked for both SAP and Oracle and recently joined Salesforce to run advanced products. “Ninety-nine percent of their business is still traditional,” he said. “The economics are different, but what is really different is the relationship with the consumer. We issue a new version of the product every four months. If the customer doesn’t like it, he stops paying.”

New versions of packaged software usually come out every few years, and it can be difficult to get out of a license when company data depends on it. “The hardest thing is to be successful again when you’ve been successful in the old world,” said Mr. Wookey.

Mr. Benioff said his response to the sudden attention paid to cloud companies is to keep moving ahead of the competition. Salesforce is building more business software that works like Facebook. Chatter, an internal communications product introduced in 2010, is intended to get people to share and collaborate more openly, aiming to create a faster-moving and less formal workplace.

Mr. Benioff takes this social stuff seriously. He put cameras in his own office and broadcasts meetings with his top executives to anyone in the company. “Our employees used to think this was an Illuminati meeting,” he said. Salesforce, he proclaimed, “might have been born in the cloud, but it was reborn social.”

So far companies seem more interested in looking hip to their customers than in changing the way they work. Salesforce has sold Chatter to Toyota as a way that employees can talk informally with each other and their customers, and customers can get messages from their cars for things like battery recharging. Burberry uses it as a means to ensure a consistent customer experience over different online devices.

This time Mr. Benioff does not have such a long lead. In May, VMware, which is majority owned by old-line data storage company EMC, bought a corporate social software business called Socialcast. I.B.M. has done internal work around applying Twitter-like feeds to corporate life. Mr. Poonen of SAP says SuccessFactors will provide a means to build a social network within its customers.

Mr. Benioff appears unworried. “I have a $10 billion vision for Salesforce,” he said. “It consists of customer success.”

nytimes.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)12/20/2011 1:44:01 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Microsoft's Shrinking Margins Loom:

By Dina Bass
Bloomberg
Dec 18, 2011 11:01 PM CT

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)’s push into cloud computing will help the company compete with Google Inc. (GOOG), Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Salesforce.com Inc. (CRM) It also will hurt profit margins.

The company’s cloud software lets corporate customers pay a subscription to do things like manage spreadsheets and corporate websites with software stored and run on Microsoft’s servers. The new services also help users view TV shows and edit photos on the Web.

While that may be great news for customers, the cost of storing software in Microsoft’s own data centers, combined with other expenses, means the company may miss profit estimates for fiscal 2012, said Heather Bellini, an analyst at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. It also means the good old days of outsized margins for the software giant may be a thing of the past, said Jason Maynard, an analyst at Wells Fargo (WFC) Securities.

“Nothing will ever be as high as the old model,” said Maynard, who’s based in San Francisco.

Profit margins, which shrank to a 22-year low in 2011, are set to fall further. Gross margins, or the percentage of sales left after production costs, will narrow 1.6 points to 76 percent in fiscal 2012, the average estimate of analysts compiled by Bloomberg. That’s after a 2.4-point drop in 2011.

The challenge to Microsoft’s margins stems from decisions Chief Executive Officer Steve Ballmer has made in recent years to invest in new businesses, such as adding content for Xbox and acquiring Skype Technologies SA for $8.5 billion.

Rising Costs

The pressure will persist beyond this year as more customers switch to cloud computing, which involves hosting software on Microsoft’s servers and delivered it over the Internet. That shifts the cost of storing and operating those programs to Microsoft.

Microsoft traditionally sold packaged software that, once developed, costs little to manufacture and distribute. In moving more business to the cloud, the world’s largest software maker must take on the costs of running data centers. These expenses include powering, cooling, housing and maintaining servers that run the programs for clients.

Mark Moerdler, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., estimates that cloud-related costs will range from 15 percent to 25 percent of revenue. That’s about 10 percent more than selling standard packaged software, he said.

Goldman Sachs’s Bellini said analysts may not be taking into account a large enough increase in cost of goods sold for the fiscal year ending in June, which could cause Microsoft to miss profit predictions. Even Bellini, who lowered her projection for gross margins and trimmed 9 cents from her overall profit estimate, said she may not have cut enough.

Microsoft declined to comment for this story.

Growth Challenges

Margin pressure is making some investors leery of Microsoft stock, and may weigh on the shares in coming months, said Walter Price, who manages the $3 billion Allianz RCM Technology Fund at RCM Capital Management in San Francisco.

The shares, which gained 1.7 percent to $26 on Dec. 16, have declined 6.8 percent this year before today.

Microsoft was already facing a challenging year for profit growth. The European debt crisis and a sluggish economic recovery have prompted government and financial customers to pare spending, while the PC industry is reeling from flooding in Thailand that has slashed production of hard drives.

Companies will boost spending on software and computers at a slower rate next year than 2011, according to Gartner Inc., which said it may cut its forecast even further at the end of the quarter. Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ), the largest computer maker, last month said it’s started to see businesses curb spending.

Xbox Content Fees

Microsoft’s product cycles also point to a year of slower growth in its flagship Windows and Office software businesses, according to Rick Sherlund, an analyst at Nomura Holdings Inc. The two divisions will expand more slowly this year as customers wait for an update to the Windows operating system, which Sherlund expects in October. Microsoft is likely to follow that with a touch-enabled version of Office productivity software, he said.

At the same time, costs are rising across businesses. Microsoft’s Xbox game consoles, which are selling well, are more expensive to manufacture than software, and the company is paying more licensing fees for content to run on the Xbox Live service.

The addition of Skype, increased demand for consulting services in the server business, and costs of Microsoft’s search partnership with Yahoo! Inc. are also adding to the jump in expenses.

Need for Scale

Including the impact of Skype, operating expenses for the year will be as much as $29.2 billion, up from a previous forecast of $28.6 billion, Microsoft said in October.

Reining in cloud computing costs will be key, and that will depend on how efficient Microsoft can become at running its massive data centers. The company will need to attract large numbers of cloud customers to get the services running at scale. And it will have to remain vigilant on data-center energy and cooling costs, said Sanford C. Bernstein’s Moerdler.

“They should be able to be pretty efficient and they should be able to generate net more revenue so the margin will go down, but earnings per share will go up,” he said. That’s in line with Microsoft’s own forecasts since starting its move to the cloud.

To contact the reporter on this story: Dina Bass in Seattle at dbass2@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net.

bloomberg.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)1/2/2012 8:41:12 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2955
 
Chart: How Google And Apple Won The Smartphone Wars

By Erick Schonfeld
TechCrunch
January 2, 2012


What a difference just one year can make. In our Year in Tech post, I pointed out that 2011 was the year that Apple and Google won the smartphone wars. I put together the chart above from comScore U.S. mobile subscriber estimates to illustrate the dramatic shift in market share in the smartphone market. In less than 18 months, Apple’s and Google’s combined market share of U.S. mobile subscribers for iPhones and Android phones went from 43.8 percent to 75.6 percent between August, 2010 and November, 2011.

During the same period, RIM’s Blackberry tumbled from 37.6 percent to 19.7 percent (an almost 18-point drop). Microsoft’s mobile share was also nearly cut in half from 10.8 percent to 5.7 percent. And Palm, which had almost 5 percent share 18 months ago, basically
disappeared (comScore stopped reporting its share).

In the space of little more than a year, Android and Apple gobbled up three quarters of the smartphone market in the U.S. Combined, they gained 31.8 points in market share over this period. When you drill down further, almost all of these gains went to Android, which added 27.3 points of market share versus a more modest 4.5 points for Apple. There is some evidence that Android growth is slowing in the U.S. (nothing can keep growing this fast forever). But the fact that market dominance can shift so rapidly (a year ago, Blackberry was still the single largest smartphone platform in the U.S.) is quite startling.

Shift happens, and it is happening faster than ever. I’d be surprised if there was ever a year when PC market share changed so dramatically.



techcrunch.com



To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2878)1/11/2012 6:16:26 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 2955
 
Cisco: Cloud Will Soon Handle Most Data Center Workloads

http://www.forbes.com/sites/joemckendrick/2011/12/04/cisco-cloud-will-soon-handle-most-data-center-workloads/