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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (81115)10/9/2011 10:19:48 PM
From: average joe  Respond to of 219940
 
If Burry is following his own advice - unlike TJ who is holding - he will sell gold now and fast.

"As you know, I have a simple philosophy: sell on new lows.

There are two reasons for this:

1) Many people do this. It's a self-fulfilling prophecy. I try to do it quicker.

2) If I know something is a fundamental value and it breaks to new lows, the selling is irrational by definition and I don't want to be in the way of irrational selling. Better to wait for the buyers to show where they are willing to step up and give support.

I suffered for several years trying to be stubborn in the face of irrational selling and all it got me was a lot of 50% haircuts on stocks that had already been too cheap. One of the biggest lessons I've learned was that PE 8 stocks can become PE 4 stocks and stay that way for a long time. AT&T's long-distance business is getting close to trading for 1X EBITDA, yet everyone looks at it like this big albatross around T's neck. Maybe in the future I'll get the long-distance biz for free. All we need is another $15 billion in lost market cap.

That said, I love your rhetorical questions. Why do you think AT&T is getting hit?

Mike"


Message 13950234