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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (42569)10/10/2011 9:08:25 PM
From: Tommaso4 Recommendations  Respond to of 71417
 
>>>Casino mentality and random mass movements in my estimation are precursors to a crash...or they used to be.<<<

In the Weimar inflation, there were violent upswings in stocks. To a lesser extent in France later in the century. In Turkey, Brazil, Argentina, and (not a good example) Zimbabwe there have been huge upside moves following monetary inflation/debasement. A strong currency is a safe haven and encourages a flight from equities, as do very high interest rates.

Right now, nothing but weak fiat currencies and zero interest rates. Stocks can go either way, and being either short or leveraged long is very risky.

I will be the first to congratulate you if you go short and make money.

As I keep saying, I was recklessly short all through about 1999-2003. Not now.

To me the equity markets are like a high-powered speedboat making S-curves around rocks, steered by a drunk, stoned, captain.



To: carranza2 who wrote (42569)10/10/2011 10:50:25 PM
From: Giordano Bruno  Respond to of 71417
 
Lemmings -g- finance.yahoo.com