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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pcyhuang who wrote (12869)10/13/2011 6:06:08 AM
From: pcyhuang  Respond to of 33421
 
Finance Sectors Outperforming

This is good omen for general recovery




To: pcyhuang who wrote (12869)10/13/2011 9:11:52 AM
From: Hawkmoon2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Excellent idea. I agree with you wholeheartedly that the key issue is whether the U.S. financial sector starts to outperform the industrials.

I was back testing the daily PSAR on FAS for the past two years.

What I found was VERY interesting.. I cannot see one instance in that time period where FAS got so very close to it's daily PSAR (acceleration = 1) only to fail to "flip" it into uptrend. This seems to certainly be the case where FAS underwent a surging rally up to that daily PSAR, as it has in past trading sessions. From what I'm seeing it almost always manages to penetrate, then consolidate before moving upward from the nearest support.

That's disturbing to me as the market was so very close yesterday to accomplishing that "flip", only to put in a shooting star on the daily candles indicating a reversal point. And now JPM came out with disappointing earnings, so it means that it's going to take more work (consolidation) and bringing that PSAR downward. But PSAR means "stop and reverse" and on a daily interval, this is a fairly strong reversal signal suggesting a sell-off is pending.

In sum, FAS needs to penetrate 13.35 and FAS(t)!!

Be nimble..

Hawk