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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1517)10/17/2011 5:35:53 AM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2077
 
Why I'm Watching These Earnings .....Monday morning presents what Cramer calls a “classic banking dichotomy” between Citigroup [C 28.40 0.76 (+2.75%) ] and First Horizon [FHN 6.56 0.04 (+0.61%) ], which both report before the bell.

Citi has problems all over the globe with slowing emerging markets, bad loans and a need to be able to compete in a slowing investment banking world. First Horizon, on the other hand, is a pretty well-run regional bank that doesn’t have the mortgage problems and international worries that Citi does.

Cramer said the action in these two companies will tell us whether we can finally get a separation between the “not-so-bad” regionals and the “deeply troubled” internationals.

A third bank, Wells Fargo [WFC 26.67 0.55 (+2.11%) ], also reports ahead of the open. It may have national mortgage issues, but it also has growth because it is so well run, the “Mad Money” host said. He expects it will have a great quarter, but doesn’t know if it will matter since there we are still in a housing crisis.

Oil service giant Halliburton [HAL 37.43 2.41 (+6.88%) ] reports before the opening bell as well. Cramer thinks the entire group may sink or swim on what HAL has to say, and he thinks the company may be too conservative in its outlook. Halliburton also ran big Friday, so he thinks we may get a sell-off even if HAL is bullish.

Tuesday, October 18

Bank of America [BAC 6.19 -0.03 (-0.48%) ], the “most hobbled of all banks,” announces its earnings before the open. If there is any rally in the banks on Monday, Cramer said, make sure to trim before BofA reports because it remains an extremely troubled company.

But he feels better about Coca-Cola [KO 67.85 0.45 (+0.67%) ], which also reports Tuesday morning. Raw costs are down, sales are up, there’s great management and a good dividend, Cramer said.

Another winner on his list is EMC [EMC 23.09 0.37 (+1.63%) ]. The name –which many thinks is the cheapest growth tech stock because of its dominance of big data storage—announces its quarterly results before the bell as well.

After the bell, all eyes will be on Cramer fave Apple [AAPL 422.00 13.57 (+3.32%) ], which reports its first quarter after the passing of Steve Jobs. Cramer thinks we’ll see numbers rise dramatically and a break out to new highs. He also thinks we may hear estimates go as high as $45 a share for the next fiscal year.

Wednesday, October 19

The spotlight shifts back to the banks Wednesday. Morgan Stanley’s [MS 15.22 0.08 (+0.53%) ] quarterly results are set to come in before the open, and Cramer’s interested to see if the company will reveal how hedged it is against Europe. He also is wondering if it will show its large earnings power. Cramer thinks Morgan Stanley is ready to play offense, and if it comes down off of BoA’s report on Tuesday, it might be a good trade.

However, he would be careful with PNC Financial Services [PNC 51.16 -0.12 (-0.23%) ], which announces its earnings ahead of the bell. He thinks it will remain downbeat. But he likes U.S. Bancorp [USB 24.70 0.37 (+1.52%) ], which also reports before the open. And he likes it even better if Bank of America drags down the entire financial sector.

United Technologies [UTX 74.64 1.10 (+1.5%) ] is the last of Wednesday’s pre-opening bell earnings reports on Cramer’s radar. He’s hoping the company gives us the vision we need to get in it, because Cramer wants to recommend it on the secondary offering that is now in the works.

After the close, American Express [AXP 46.10 -0.23 (-0.5%) ] announces its quarterly results. Cramer wants to see revenue growth, not just a decline in loan losses for the company he calls “the best of the financials.”

Thursday, October 20

Pay-to-wait name Nucor [NUE 35.88 0.47 (+1.33%) ] reports ahead of the opening bell Thursday, and Cramer thinks we’ll hear things will get better for this steelmaker next year. He’ll also have his eye on his favorite tobacco stock, Philip Morris [PM 67.40 0.95 (+1.43%) ], which is terrific growth and fat dividend.

Cramer’s favorite chemical company PPG [PPG 79.71 2.04 (+2.63%) ] also reports before the open. While some are worried about a decline in chemicals, he isn’t worried because he thinks management’s flawless execution will continue.

He'll also be watching Union Pacific [UNP 91.97 1.86 (+2.06%) ] when it announces earnings ahead of the bell. If it sells off after CSX [CSX 21.13 0.36 (+1.73%) ]reports earlier in the week, he would buy it ahead of the quarter.

After the close, Cramer expects to hear good things when Chipotle Mexican Grill [CMG 320.80 3.49 (+1.1%) ] reports. He thinks the stock could be ready to run again after its recent sell-off.

Finally, Microsoft [MSFT 27.27 0.09 (+0.33%) ] announces its results after the bell and Cramer wonders if its “smart” acquisition of Skype may be the tailwind the company needs.

Friday, October 21

When Honeywell [HON 49.45 1.56 (+3.26%) ] reports before the open, Cramer expects to hear that its 5 year plan is still intact. If so, this name is a fantastic stock to anchor a portfolio, he said.

He’s also paying attention to oil service titan Schlumberger [SLB 70.94 3.74 (+5.57%) ], which also reports ahead of the bell. If Halliburton knocks down the sector, Cramer suggests buying SLB head of its quarter.

Finally, Cramer wants to hear what Verizon [VZ 37.33 0.31 (+0.84%) ] says about the demand for the iPhone 4S when it reports before the opening bell. He thinks this could be the second wave up for Apple.



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1517)10/17/2011 6:49:30 PM
From: 2MAR$  Respond to of 2077
 
  • CROX $27-$17 Crocs implodes afterhours on reduced guidance: bit.ly/qSEIEA $CROX -36.30% at 16.97


  • After Hours: Crocs shares mauled after-hours on outlook cut



  • To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1517)10/19/2011 5:20:33 AM
    From: 2MAR$  Respond to of 2077
     
    AAPL $425-$395... Misses Estimates on Delayed Sales Expects December quarter earnings of $9.30 a share on revenue of about $37 billion. Wall Street is projecting $9.01
    By Adam Satariano - Oct 19, 2011 12:11 AM PT

    bloomberg.com
    Apple Falls After Wait for IPhone Causes Missed Estimates

    Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg

    Apple sold 17.07 million iPhones, less than the 20 million projected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, as consumers held out for the iPhone 4S.

    Apple sold 17.07 million iPhones, less than the 20 million projected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, as consumers held out for the iPhone 4S. Photographer: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg



    Play Video

    Oct. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Alex Gauna, an analyst with JMP Securities LLC, talks about Apple Inc.'s fourth-quarter results and the outlook for the company under the leadership of Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook. Apple profit fell short of analysts’ predictions for the first time in at least six years after customers put off purchases of iPhones before the release of the latest version. Gauna speaks with Emily Chang and Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)



    Play Video

    Oct. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Ashok Kumar, an analyst at Rodman & Renshaw LLC, talks about Apple Inc.'s fourth-quarter earnings and outlook. Apple's profit fell short of analysts' predictions for the first time in at least six years after customers put off purchases of iPhones before the release of the latest version. Kumar speaks with Adam Johnson, Lisa Murphy and Julie Hyman on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)

    Enlarge image
    Apple Falls After Wait for IPhone Causes Missed Estimates

    Matthew Lloyd/Bloomberg

    The shortfall underscores the growing importance to Apple for the iPhone, which was introduced in 2007 and accounted for 39 percent of revenue last quarter. The shortfall underscores the growing importance to Apple for the iPhone, which was introduced in 2007 and accounted for 39 percent of revenue last quarter. Photographer: Matthew Lloyd/Bloomberg

    Enlarge image
    Apple earnings

    Christof Stache/AFP/Getty Images

    The face of Apple co-founder and former CEO Steve Jobs is created with adhesive notes on the window of an Apple Store in Munich on October 18, 2011. Apple Inc. (AAPL) fell in German trading after profit missed analysts’ predictions for the first time in at least six years, evidence that customers delayed iPhone purchases before the release of the latest model.

    Profit was $6.62 billion, or $7.05 a share in the fiscal fourth quarter, compared with $4.31 billion, or $4.64 a share, a year earlier, Cupertino, California-based Apple said yesterday in a statement. That missed analysts’ predicted profit of $7.31 a share, the first disappointment from Apple in at least 26 quarters.

    Apple sold 17.07 million iPhones, less than the 20 million projected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, as consumers held out for the iPhone 4S, released after the close of the period that ended Sept. 24. The shortfall underscores the growing importance to Apple for the iPhone, which was introduced in 2007 and accounted for 39 percent of revenue last quarter.

    “The market was expecting very strong iPhone sales going into the product launch,” said Giri Cherukuri, head trader at Oakbrook Investments LLC, which holds Apple shares. “It stands to reason that a lot of people were waiting for the new iPhone to come out.”

    Apple shares dropped as much as 7.3 percent to the equivalent of $391.75 in German trading and were down 6.4 percent as of 9:03 a.m. in Frankfurt. Yesterday, the stock fell 6.3 percent to $395.50 in extended U.S. trading. The stock had closed at $422.24 in New York.

    Sales of the smartphone are rebounding this quarter, and the decline in Apple shares represents a “buying opportunity,” said Cherukuri, whose firm is based in Lisle, Illinois.

    Steve Jobs

    The results were the first announced since the Oct. 5 death of Apple co-founder Steve Jobs. New Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook said the world has lost “a creative genius and an amazing human being.”

    “Steve was a great leader and mentor and inspired everyone at Apple to do extraordinary things,” Cook said yesterday on a conference call. “His spirit will forever be the foundation of Apple, and we are dedicated to continuing the amazing work that he loved so much.”

    Apple said that while iPhone sales fell off last quarter, the holiday quarter will be its best yet. First-quarter per- share earnings will be about $9.30 on sales of about $37 billion, Apple said in the statement.

    That surpassed analysts’ projections, suggesting that iPhone sales are bouncing back with the release of the iPhone 4S, which set a record with debut-weekend sales of 4 million.

    “In our wildest dreams, we couldn’t have gotten off to as great a start as we did with the iPhone 4S,” Cook said on the call. The drop in demand for iPhones in the second half of last quarter was “substantial,” said Cook.

    Smartphone Rivals The new touchscreen handset is vying with new smartphones from companies including Samsung Electronics Co. and HTC Corp. (2498), which use Google Inc.’s Android operating system.

    Back-to-school shopping helped propel fourth-quarter Mac sales to a record 4.89 million, above the 4.4 million predicted by analysts. The lineup of desktop and laptops is gaining share as demand diminishes for rivals’ personal computers, according to research firm Gartner Inc.

    IPad sales of 11.12 million also set a record, signaling Apple is fending off competition from companies such as Samsung and Research In Motion Ltd. (RIM) that have introduced rival tablets. Amazon.com Inc. debuts its new Kindle Fire tablet on Nov. 15. Analysts had predicted iPad sales of 11.5 million.

    Apple’s fourth-quarter revenue was $28.3 billion, below the $29.6 billion predicted by analysts. Missing expectations caught investors by surprise since the company has so consistently beaten predictions. During the previous 19 quarters, Apple had exceeded profit estimates by an average 28 percent, according to Piper Jaffray Cos.

    ‘Clueless’ “Shame on me and other investors who got lulled into complacency based on how much they’ve beaten estimates in the past,” said David Rolfe, chief investment officer at Apple investor at Wedgewood Partners Inc.

    Apple had said in July that it expected sales and profit to fall because of changes to its product lineup.

    “It’s not the company that missed, it’s the people who follow Apple that are clueless,” said Trip Chowdhry, an analyst at Global Equities Research in San Francisco.

    Analysts may revisit projections that Apple will continue to grow at a record rate and exceed estimates, said Michael Obuchowski, chief investment officer at First Empire Asset Management.

    “That the company can maintain the growth rate that some of the analysts envision is not very realistic,” he said. “There will be a reevaluation of the analysts’ expectations.”

    China, Thailand

    Apple added to its balance sheet. Cash and investments now total $81.6 billion. Asked why the company hasn’t returned some of that money to shareholders in the form of a dividend or buyback, Cook said the cash is used for acquisitions, purchasing components and opening stores.

    Still, Cook said he’s “not religious” about holding on to the money. Whether to return some is a regular discussion among the company’s board of directors.

    Gross profit margin, the percentage of sales left after deducting production costs, was 40.3 percent last quarter, compared with 36.9 percent a year earlier, Apple said.

    China is becoming an increasingly vital region for Apple, said Cook, with the area generating $4.5 billion in sales last quarter. Apple is opening stores, conducting marketing campaigns and partnering with third-party retail outlets to reach customers in China, Cook said.

    Apple also has seen supply chain snags as a result of flooding in Thailand, Cook said. The factories affected are mainly supplying components for the company’s Mac computers, he said.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Satariano in San Francisco at asatariano1@bloomberg.net



    To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1517)10/23/2011 9:40:56 PM
    From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2077
     
    KEY EARNINGS Reports Week of 10/24