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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (81797)10/21/2011 9:47:15 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218070
 
the reasons behind the likely continuance of the commodities supercycle for the foreseeable future as populations, urbanization and wealth all continue to grow.

"Super cycles are extended periods of historically high global growth, lasting a generation or more, driven by increasing trade, high rates of investment, urbanisation and technological innovation, characterised by the emergence of large, new economies, first seen in high catch-up growth rates across the emerging world.

The world economy may now enjoy its third super cycle, after the first 1870-1913 and the second 1946 - 1972. Note that the first super cycle which coincided with America's industrialisation and Germany's Gründerjahre was stopped in the tracks on the eve of World War I. Note also the end to the second cycle which followed the World War II and coincided with Japan's and the Asian NIEs rapid convergence was stopped by the oil price shock." Helmut Reisen shiftingwealthblogspot.com

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