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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ted birnbaum who wrote (7303)11/19/1997 10:22:00 PM
From: Roger A. Babb  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 9285
 
Ted, CTXS (along with SEBL and YHOO among others) have recently been exhibiting what I call "wounded bull" patterns. They crash on the slightest bad news, but then recover. ZITL did this around $20 for a while, and earlier in the $35 range. It means that the long holders are nervous and a lot of shares are moving from funds and insiders into weak hands. Eventually it does not recover from one of the dives, the bull dies as it did with ZITL.

It remains to be seen how seriously the CTXS bull is wounded, its demise may take a while. And wounded bulls are known to get back up and make a last charge.



To: ted birnbaum who wrote (7303)11/20/1997 12:50:00 AM
From: ItsAllCyclical  Respond to of 9285
 
Everyone saying CTXS will just "bounce back" like it's nothing reminds me of the Cymer longs when cymer was between 80-90 pre-split. It turns out there was nothing wrong with cymi but that didn't prevent cymer from plunging because it was still overpriced.

Jim