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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (12950)10/29/2011 9:38:14 AM
From: Jon Koplik4 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Re : "oft repeated" lie (US Dollar has depreciated 98% since the creation of the Fed in 1913) -- I am SO sick and tired of hearing this.

The reason it is a "specious" ***

*** specious -- an argument that appears good at first view but is really fallacious ****

**** fallacious -- containing or based on a fallacy: a fallacious assumption. tending to mislead; deceptive: fallacious testimony

.... argument / "fact" is :

The 98% idea is only (possibly) relevant if ... in the year 1913, you (literally) buried a jar of $10 bills (or any denomination) in your back yard,

and then dug up the jar now and observed the purchasing power of those really old $10 bills.

IN THE REAL WORLD, you would NOT have buried the money in your back yard,

you would have earned COMPOUNDED INTEREST since the year 1913.

A few of those years (around 1978 - 1982 or so) would have yielded tremendous interest, even assuming only safe 91-day T-bills. (And then, there was the other 94 or so years of interest earnings, too.)

Jon.

.



To: John Pitera who wrote (12950)10/29/2011 10:20:43 PM
From: richardred1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
>one thing that immediately jumps out is that utility companies are monopolies, they pay a dividend and don't go away.

One point John, many dividends and utility companies are going away now, because they are being acquired. NYSEG & RG& E in that book are now owned by Iberdrola S.A. a Spanish company.