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To: Return to Sender who wrote (54563)	11/7/2011 11:55:27 AM
From: FJB	1 Recommendation Respond to of 95572

LMAO!

To: Return to Sender who wrote (54563)	11/7/2011 4:03:45 PM
From: cluka	Respond to of 95572

$14 Trillion economy, 1% is 140 Billion. You tell me if we do QE3 or stimulus and I will tell you if we have a recession. This is all a big joke and our economy is an abstract painting. You will see what you want to see. Too bad economic laws are not like conventions in art. You cannot change them to produce new perspective. They are natural laws, like gravity, and sooner or later you will fall to the ground.

To: Return to Sender who wrote (54563)	11/7/2011 7:54:54 PM
From: Kirk ©	1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 95572

LOL! Funny. I think I'll send a link to your story to Lakshman. From facebook.com Lakshman Achuthan Thanks for covering this. 5 hours ago · Like Kirk Lindstrom I got a chuckle from Leisman trying to get you to give an indicator when your message was they were ALL pointing lower. I guess you could have said commodity prices were moving higher in 2010 but this year they are lower... but they'd probably argue short term some are back up... etc... 4 hours ago · Like Lakshman Achuthan It really is about the breadth of decline in a broad array of leading indicators that is the hallmark of a recession, not one specific thing or another. If I'd mentioned that sensitive industrial commodity prices were falling at about almost a -20% rate one might think that's what we were basing our forecast on... which we're not. As I recall, we wrote a book about all this! 2 hours ago · Like · 1 Kirk Lindstrom Everyone on TV (or radio) wants the Cliff note version of your book and a full understanding of what is in the black box... without having to pay for either! LOL

To: Return to Sender who wrote (54563)	11/8/2011 2:00:46 PM
From: FJB	1 Recommendation Respond to of 95572

Global Economy Will Struggle for Growth NOVEMBER 8, 2011, 12:14 A.M. ET http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204190704577024512874824728.html By KATHLEEN MADIGAN NEW YORK—The world economy will struggle to grow above its potential over the next five years as advanced economies recover but the gain is offset by a slowdown in emerging markets, according to a global forecast released Tuesday by the Conference Board. Over time, the emergence of larger middle classes in developing markets will help global businesses that must adjust to declining demand among struggling middle-class consumers in advanced nations. The Conference Board's global forecast expects world gross domestic product to grow 3.2% in 2012 and accelerate to 3.5% from 2013 until 2016. Farther out, growth is projected to average 2.7% from 2017-2025. Each period's projected pace is less than the 3.6% average during the 1996-2005 period, before the severe recession hit. The board's forecast was prepared to help its business members adapt to a changing world economy. Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal were given exclusive access to the forecast. Much of the medium-term acceleration will come from advanced economies, including the U.S., the euro zone and Japan. The board projects those developed nations' growth will pick up from 1.3% in 2012, to 2% in the following four years, then ease to 1.9% from 2017 to 2025. Growth in emerging nations, led by China and India, is set to slow, with total GDP seen rising 5.1% in 2012, 4.9% from 2013-2016 and 3.4% after that. When the board's economists ran the global forecast, the biggest surprise was the throttling back in China's growth rate, said Bart van Ark, the board's chief economist. China is expected to expand 8.7% next year, 6.6% in the following four years and only 3.5% in the 2017-2025 period. Of course, the 3.5% rate will be based on a much larger GDP level. The board expects China to overtake the U.S. as the largest economy by about 2015 on a purchasing-power-parity basis. "China must transform itself from an export-driven economy to one more geared toward domestic, consumer-based demand," said Mr. van Ark. That shift, along with slower population growth, will account for most of China's deceleration. The global output slowdown will result in smaller gains in per-capita income that bring risks to both the advanced and developing worlds, the report warned. For the advanced economy, "slower income growth will leave less money available to finance health-care and pension programs," said Mr. van Ark. The U.S. and the euro zone already have had to confront unsustainable trends in fiscal-entitlement programs. Slower income growth would leave revenue sources even smaller. For emerging markets, per-capita income growth will likely be unevenly distributed. Mr. van Ark said some nations might see per-capita income growth of only 1%, a rate too low to improve living standards.