To: Maurice Winn who wrote (82909 ) 11/9/2011 8:52:45 AM From: Cogito Ergo Sum Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217942 FWI,, To: Johnny Canuck who wrote ( 47273 )11/9/2011 3:14:13 AMFrom: Johnny Canuck Read Replies (1) of 47275 Qualcomm Looks Like The Winner In The Smart Phone Chip War 2 comments | November 8, 2011 | about: QCOM , includes: AAPL , INTC , MSFT , NOK Qualcomm ( QCOM ) closed out the books on a solid fourth quarter with revenues rising by 39% year over year to $4.12 billion. Guidance for 2012 was issued with $18-19 billion in revenues and $3.42-3.62 in non-GAAP diluted EPS. Currently, there are over 200 royalty-bearing 3G licenses and 12 single-mode OFDM licenses around the world as consumers migrate from 2G to 3G. Shipments of Integrated Snapdragon chipsets grew by 4x last year as smart phone and tablet manufacturers realized the value in Qualcomm’s chipset. The real news concerning Qualcomm did not come from the earnings call but rather came out in a number of announcements and discoveries over the past few weeks. Qualcomm scored a major win with the iPhone 4S. According to iSupply, Intel’s ( INTC ) overall share of the smart phone has gone from $10 in parts down to 50 cents, with Qualcomm taking over a portion of the chip design. Microsoft ( MSFT ) has gone so far with Windows 8 as to name Qualcomm their only partner in the smart phone area and the first round of Windows powered Nokia ( NOK ) smart phones. Microsoft even went so far as to demonstrate a Windows 8 PC running on Snapdragon at the BUILD conference. The Windows 8 PC was shown to run on a low-power mode and remain on the network and up to date, showcasing features similar to smart phones. This is not to say that we are going to see Snapdragon powered PCs and laptops in the near future but it represents how powerful the new Snapdragon chips have become. This helps Microsoft dispel one of its primary problems. Windows has a reputation as being somewhat of a memory hog and slow to startup relative to smart phones and tablets. More importantly, it demonstrates the power and capabilities of Snapdragon ships. This does not threaten Intel but it helps in a number of areas. First, it keeps them out of the tablet and smart phone space. Second, in the wake of Google’s ( GOOG ) acquisition of Motorola Mobility smart phone manufacturers are worried about future versions of Android tailored to Motorola Mobility smart phones. As a response, Google released the latest version of Android, named Ice Cream Sandwich, to Samsung as an inducement to stick with Android rather than try Mango. If Microsoft is able to make inroads into the OS space with handset manufacturers left out of the OS competition then by default with Snapdragon as a chipset partner, Qualcomm will benefit. Just a few days ago, Qualcomm acquired the technology and other assets of HaloIPT, a developer of wireless charging technology for electric vehicles. This acquisition, if the technology can become commercially viable, opens tremendous new doors for Qualcomm in terms of chips and patent technology. Investors looking at the technology sector are well advised to check out Qualcomm. The company has made a serious move into the smart phone and tablet sectors with Snapdragon and other chipsets securing design wins in the iPhone 4S and from Windows effectively marginalizing Intel. This is not to say that they are going to make a play in the PC market but as smart phone and tablet growth continue at rapid rates and PC and laptop demand slows Qualcomm is better positioned relative to Intel and others in the sector. Disclosure: I am long QCOM, AAPL. Additional disclosure: Source: Qualcomm earnings report and website, iSupply website. [Johnny: QCOM was trapped in a range for the last 10 years. This might be news that finally allows it to break out of it range. It is still a few years off, but at some point QCOM`s initial patents will start to expire, so they need to be generating new patents all the time to keep their main revenue stream stable or growing. ================================================================ BUT.... To: Johnny Canuck who wrote ( 47274 )11/9/2011 3:34:54 AMFrom: Johnny Canuck of 47275 Lingering Concerns over Qualcomm’s Accounting: Greenberg Published: Tuesday, 8 Nov 2011 | 5:44 PM ET By: Herb Greenberg CNBC Senior Stocks Commentator A year ago Qualcomm disclosed that the Securities and Exchange Commission was investigating its accounting after receiving a whistleblower complaint. Since then, the story has all but disappeared. But the SEC hasn’t—and that has John Gavin of Disclosure Insight wondering, “Why Not?” And wondering whether the lingering probe suggests something potentially more prickly. Here’s his firm’s note: Despite reporting favorable results last week, QCOM [QCOM 57.03 0.11 (+0.19%) ] has a lingering accounting exposure dating back to at least Dec-09 that keeps us concerned. The nature of the accounting exposure is anybody’s guess as disclosures on the issue are vague and have provided no new information since being initially reported in Nov-10. The typical reaction of investors, which is to assume a disclosed risk related to an accounting matter and associated formal SEC investigation is already in the stock, may be misguided in this case. RELATED LINKS 2011 Dividends: Who’s Paying, Who’s Not? Corporations Rush to Credit Markets for Cash CNBC Stock Blog That QCOM disclosed this exposure in the first place, especially after sitting on related matters for nearly a year, tells you management deems the matter material. That it continues to be disclosed after yet another year suggests the company is having a difficult time resolving it. Using our expertise in parsing disclosures, and in this case assessing SEC investigations, we show that the risk associated with this matter could be greater than perceived. These are our concerns: -It is likely that the SEC has been investigating QCOM longer than the company’s disclosures indicate. -QCOM waited 2 months before disclosing the formal SEC investigation in the 10-K, giving it no prominence as would have been the case with an 8-K. -The formal investigation could indicate that QCOM is not cooperating with the SEC’s investigation. -QCOM sat on the whistleblower allegations for almost a year. -Whistleblowers are typically inside or otherwise close to the company. As such, they risk their position with the company, future employment opportunities, persecution, and retaliation. -There has been no meaningful update since the initial disclosure in Nov-10, so we do not know where the SEC investigation stands today. -QCOM has not elaborated on the nature of the whistleblower allegations or the issues in the SEC investigation. -QCOM’s initial disclosure of an internal review was in Nov-10, at which point it had already been completed. -QCOM did not report the results of the internal review. This is despite the fact the audit committee deemed it necessary to engage forensic accountants and independent legal counsel. -The poor quality of QCOM’s disclosure related to the SEC investigation leaves us questioning the company’s overall disclosure practices. Qualcomm has not yet responded to my request for comment, but in its latest 10-K the company pretty much reiterated what it said a year ago: “The audit committee completed an internal review with the assistance of independent counsel and independent forensic accountants. This internal review into the allegations and related accounting practices did not identify any errors in our financial statements. We continue to cooperate with the SEC’s ongoing investigation.” UPDATE: Qualcomm later responded to my request for a comment. This is from Bill Davidson, senior vice president of global marketing and investor relations. "There is no set time applied to an investigation by the SEC. Therefore, to read anything into the amount of time the investigation has taken that Mr. Greenberg referenced in his story about Qualcomm is unfounded. We have, and we will continue to cooperate fully with the SEC regarding this matter." Questions? Comments? Write to HerbOnTheStreet@cnbc.com Follow Herb on Twitter: @herbgreenberg