SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (83636)11/25/2011 2:17:33 PM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218140
 
To show the inflationary effects of monetary mania by constant dilution by the producers of US$, a smoothed Dow over 100 years would do a good job of showing that effect.

As I said - basically worthless, and especially since you didn't include any part of that chart to show actual inflation - both CPI and 'corrected'.
Failing to address the massive issues with very excessive smoothing is also illustrative.

I note that you also avoided noting that the current large 'spikes' going on for months were not present during the '66 cycle as they are now, and I believe that to be evidence of substantial arrogance. And changing your point from a coming ice age to showing "the long cycle of solar output over hundreds of years and the effect on climate" is hardly supporting of your forecast.

Whatever - we'll see in 2020 (if we're both around in) who was correct.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (83636)3/3/2012 10:35:13 AM
From: Maurice Winn3 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218140
 
Well Mq, another northern winter with freezing snow across Europe, and down into Syria even now. Your predictions are amazing. Here's the current solar cycle and the official predictions by peer-reviewed paid professionals who are now making exactly your prediction, though you made it over 3 years ago: solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov

The smoothed peak now expected by those who produced the graph shows you as being right on the money.

2020 is now predicted to be the bottom of this solar cycle and your 2020 Little Ice Age/reglaciation theory is looking scarily accurate. 2020 foresight is an excellent thing.

While mentioning predictions, the gold bugs must be really happy because they still own exactly one ounce of gold they own for each ounce of gold they bought and they don't have to pay tax on the dividends. Not only do they own their gold, any remaining money they had has not depreciated against their gold so they should be doubly happy. The 31 Dec 2012 sooth of $1727 should be on the money just like the previous 3, even though that prediction was made under duress in volatile times.

How do you do it? Amazing!!

Mqurice