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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (13090)	12/14/2011 5:39:56 PM
From: John Pitera	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

Tom, as we develop a period of risk off .......it has negative ramifcations for equities look foe more of the ssme 2% to 4% up and down moves...........and as the global economy unwindinds.............look for as Charles Neenner has coommented a DJIA level of 5000. JP

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (13090)	12/14/2011 6:31:59 PM
From: John Pitera	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

Tom, I was rhinking rhat i was addressing another question...... and then realized that this was in response to another Q............. The 2 articles by Jim Grant and Jeremey Granthan back at the top in the spring ....were a thought i was ringing the warning bell. Gratham of GMO is one of the smartest assest managers arounds and he stated: "This nugget came up recently, so we tested it. Bingo! In the first seven months of the third year since 1960, Year 3 has returned 2.5% per month for a total of 20% real (after infl ation adjustment). In contrast, the second five months after May have delivered an average return of 0.5% per month, as does the fourth year of the cycle. Now, 20% is perilously close to the total for the whole 48-month cycle of 21%." so the bottom line that I posted with a company article was you had your 20% and that was all you were suppossed too so you could move to cash or other stronger debt.............as you have already bagged your qouta on what you had picked up your 20% gain in US Equities Message 27391793 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ siliconinvestor.com Once bullish, contrarian Jim Grant likes cash now (AP) – 05/21/11 NEW YORK (AP) — Jim Grant quotes obscure dead economists at length. He pines for an earlier time of gas lights and top hats when the dollar was convertible to gold. He wears bowties. Prolific author, gold bug, droll chronicler of Wall Street folly, Grant would be easy to dismiss as an entertaining but irrelevant throwback if he hadn't been proven so right so often. Now, as small investors are putting more money into markets, the publisher of the biweekly Grant's Interest Rate Observer is warning of new dangers. He says *prices are too high for nearly every asset* you can think of — stocks, junk bonds, Treasury bonds, British gilts, even Iowa corn fields.