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To: yard_man who wrote (419499)12/15/2011 8:48:11 AM
From: Horgad  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
"But either policy, in a debt bloated world results in a contraction in economic activity. "

Likely yes but government policy is and will continue to impact prices. Does shed acknowledge the possibility of an economic collapse coupled with massive price inflation because of a currency crisis or is he a straight by the book deflationary collapse kind of guy pounding the table that prices must go down? IE you can still lose money by correctly predicting an economic collapse if you dont correctly predict prices. A stock market crash is not a lock if the currency collapses faster.



To: yard_man who wrote (419499)12/15/2011 7:45:44 PM
From: Terry Maloney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
I agree with all that, but like Horgad replied earlier, I think which way it plays out will affect market prices ... you and mish may know inflation's impossible, I'm not so sure.

That bird first came around here as a landscape photographer or whatever, asking Earlie about how puts works, as I recall ... he's come a long way since, but I don't have total confidence in him, frankly.


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