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Technology Stocks : COMS & the Ghost of USRX w/ other STUFF -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RBB who wrote (9655)11/21/1997 3:56:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Respond to of 22053
 
re Happy Investing. Rambabu, I appreciate the contrarian point of view when viewing bearish posts. Nevertheless, it's an uphill battle when the same concerns keep popping up from different sources on different days. This inventory thing has been traveling the financial news circuit for several weeks now, starting with suspicions voiced as "concerns" by analysts and financial newshounds: "The delay of a 56K standard may cause people to put off buying a modem until a standard is reached". That's how it started, way over a month ago. Then a couple weeks ago, Eric Benhamou hinted to analysts that "modem inventories are a little higher than we would like them to be". That's all it takes to implode a tech stock. Since then, this issue has been sliced and diced six ways, baked on high heat, and served up to investors with every possible topping to give each story a slightly different slant. It looks like the WSJ has done a nice little summary today:

techstocks.com

"Since Nov. 10, 20 out of 34 analysts have lowered their estimates for the second quarter, with "the more recent revisions deeper than the earlier ones," said Chuck Hill, director of research at First Call.

The consensus estimate for the quarter has fallen to 44 cents a share from 53 cents as of the start of Nov. 10. Illustrating the drop even more dramatically, the estimate range has widened to between 9 cents and 58 cents a share from between 47 cents and 58 cents on Nov. 10, Hill said.

Since Nov. 10, Hill said, full-year consensus estimates have also fallen, to $2.06 a share from $2.30 for fiscal 1998 and to $2.68 a share from $3.02 for fiscal 1999.


Officials at 3Com declined to comment.
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Montgomery Securties analyst Al Tobia estimates 9 cents for the quarter ending Nov 30th. Gee, it's going to be fun waiting for earnings.