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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alex who wrote (13111)	1/13/2012 11:06:14 AM
From: ggersh	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

IMO, rate are going lower, economy if that matters is still in the crapper, Ben buying treasuries and think the JGB. BWTFDIK. ggersh

To: Alex who wrote (13111)	2/9/2012 4:15:14 AM
From: John Pitera	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

Rates as of Jan of 2015........... I would think they would be substantially higher. We are having a record amount of debt contraction due to deleveraging which is asset contracting in nature, and concomitant to that we have a record amount of debt creation. When you are playing in a minefield that is without previous example, coupled with the quick response of the financial markets and monetary authorities to make mid course adjustments......... It's Largely a matter of conjecture and having the best incantations in your trading circle. We have all discussed the deflationary apects of the great deleveraging, or working down of debt in all segments of the financial system and it would appear to be a demonstrated fact that without these history low global yield curve we would have hyperinflated away into oblivion if not for couterbalancing impact of debtlation. Do you think Germany will pay a negative yield on their bunds for very long? John

To: Alex who wrote (13111)

7/25/2012 3:11:27 AM

From: John Pitera

Respond to of 33421

3-Month	0.000	10/25/2012	*0.10 / 0.10*	0.000 / 0.000	03:01
6-Month	0.000	01/24/2013	0.14 / 0.14	0.000 / 0.000	03:00
12-Month	0.000	07/25/2013	0.17 / 0.17	0.002 / 0.002	03:00
2-Year	0.125	07/31/2014	99-26+ / 0.21	0-00+ / -0.008	03:00
3-Year	0.250	07/15/2015	99-29¼ / 0.28	-0-00+ / 0.003	03:01
*5-Year*	0.750	06/30/2017	100-31¼ / 0.55	-0-01+ / 0.008	03:00
7-Year	1.000	06/30/2019	100-23+ / 0.89	-0-02 / 0.009	03:01
*10-Year*	1.750	05/15/2022	103-08 / *1.39*	-0-02 / 0.007	03:00
30-Year	3.000	05/15/2042	111-15 / 2.46	-0-04 / 0.001	03:00

Inflation Indexed Treasury COUPON MATURITY PRICE/YIELD PRICE/YIELD CHANGE TIME

5-Year	0.125	04/15/2017	106-08+ / -1.16	-0-04¾ / 0.029	03:01
10-Year	0.125	07/15/2022	108-18+ / -0.70	-0-03¾ / 0.011	03:01
20-Year	3.375	04/15/2032	168-13½ / -0.07	-0-10+ / 0.012	03:01
30-Year	0.750	02/15/2042	113-15+ / 0.27	-0-09+ / 0.010	03:01

Municipal Bonds CURRENT YLD PREV YLD CHANGE 28% EQ YLD 1 WK YLD 1 MO YLD 6 MO YLD

1-Year	0.211%	0.216%	-0.005%	0.294%	0.194%	0.219%	0.264%
2-Year	0.329%	0.331%	-0.002%	0.457%	0.325%	0.366%	0.416%
5-Year	0.659%	0.682%	-0.023%	0.916%	0.712%	0.829%	0.886%
7-Year	1.145%	1.179%	-0.034%	1.590%	1.203%	1.323%	1.349%
10-Year	1.691%	1.721%	-0.030%	2.349%	1.748%	1.900%	1.892%
15-Year	2.229%	2.296%	-0.067%	3.095%	2.306%	2.465%	2.451%
20-Year	2.632%	2.705%	-0.073%	3.656%	2.661%	2.812%	2.994%
30-Year	3.042%	3.036%	0.006%	4.225%	3.043%	3.109%	3.548%

Unless indicated otherwise: intraday data is at least 15 minutes delayed; mutual fund NAVs are updated at the close of every market day; all prices are in the local currency; Time is ET.

Hi Alex,

just got up to as my buddy called and told me to check out London. I have a question for you.... now that we have seen some time go by and British Gilts are at 300 year lows and US 10 year notes are at 200 year lows... and new lows.. what do you think rates will do over the next 2-3 years?

John