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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (467051)	1/24/2012 10:47:35 AM
From: carranza2	1 Recommendation Respond to of 793748

Newt may not resonate with much of the political center, but Obama has alienated many in the center as well. Bingo! You get it, which is why candidates go centrist at the end. Presidential elections are a fight for those voters who matter, i.e., those which a candidate might get, not those he already has, especially in swing states. Primary campaigns, on the other hand, are fights for those who are going to vote for a party's candidate which is the reason why they are so hard fought. Newt is purposefully getting the base all riled up but, if nominated (and his baggage doesn't sink him or he doesn't commit a colossal mistake, both of which are possible), will disappoint the base. This is because he will do the politically expedient thing during the national campaign, i.e., turn centrist in search of the all-important moderate, non-aligned vote. Romney 's mistake is that he has already assumed the mantle of front-runner and has made the centrist turn a bit too early. He now has to turn right to rile up the base, get people screaming at their TVs, and the question for him is this: Can he do so credibly? I don't know but if I had to bet, I'd say so. The GOP pros want to win, and they know they cannot win with Newt so their support, tepid as it might be, is going to Romney. It might be all Romney needs. All candidates eventually screw their base in a close election. If elected, they screw their base while in office. Why? Because the base on either side is loyal; it won't switch sides except under the most exigent of circumstances. Obama is a great example. He was progressive during the campaign, then became Wall Street's puppet in office. Do you think that is going to make any difference to 99% of Democrats? Politics 101.