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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (3372)11/21/1997 4:37:00 PM
From: Donald McRobb  Respond to of 116815
 
Northern Miner interesting article by Mr. Lassonde

The Northern Miner Volume 83 Number 39
November 24, 1997

COMMENTARY -- Gold little understood

By Pierre Lassonde

Almost everything we hear or read about gold's downward price
trend these days points to its failure to react to perceived political
crises and ongoing sales of gold by some central banks. The
unmistakable conclusion is that gold is no longer money but merely
a glittering commodity. This attitude reflects a narrow
understanding of gold that comes as a result of looking only at the
past 20 years.

For starters, gold is still the only store of value for most of Asia, which is
why half of today's mined gold is sold in India, China and Southeast Asia.
The latest round of currency depreciation, which saw the Thai baht,
Korean wan and other Southeast Asian money depreciate by about 35%,
can only reinforce the value of gold to people in those countries.

More importantly, however, the price of gold is a reflection of the
soundness of currencies and economies of the world. In the early 1980s,
we saw a gold price of US$800 per oz. and an 18% short-term interest
rate.

Today, we have a price of US$300 per oz. and a 3% short-term rate. Roy
Jastrum coined the expression "the golden constant" to illustrate that it is
not gold that fluctuates but the currencies in which it is bought and sold.

That central banks are selling some or all of their gold has nothing and
everything to do with gold as money. Their motivation is simple:
Governments need cash now. Canada sold 90% of its gold reserves to
help bridge the deficit gap. We are now heading into a surplus situation,
and the time will come to top up those gold reserves.

For gold to play a role in the monetary system of the 21st century, it has to
have all the attributes of money, including liquidity. A bigger, more liquid
gold market, where central banks can lend or borrow gold, is essential in
order for gold to be perceived as an asset class by the central banks'
portfolio managers, who are held accountable by politicians for their return
on investment. We should welcome the actions of Germany, Switzerland
and other countries, which are fulfilling this role by lending portions of their
gold reserves.

As an industry, however, we have not done a great job of studying,
understanding and communicating the financial value and role of gold, as
well as that of central banks, to the financial community. We've spent all of
our efforts on the consumption or commodity side of gold, but almost none
on either its role as money or on the holders of 30% of the world's gold --
the central banks.

Gold is still the only money that is not someone else's debt, and will remain
so forever. Its paper value will always reflect the economic times in which
we live.

-- The author is president of both Franco-Nevada Mining and
Euro-Nevada Mining.