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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gronieel2 who wrote (6911)1/27/2012 1:24:39 PM
From: Boca_PETE  Respond to of 10065
 
From my viewpoint, their action (non action) speaks volumes about their view of America's economic prospects over the next few years.

p



To: gronieel2 who wrote (6911)1/30/2012 1:22:02 PM
From: gronieel21 Recommendation  Respond to of 10065
 
Noteworthy among the information released by the U.S. Federal Reserve last week was a statement of the FOMC's longer run goals and policy strategy. A key section reads:

The inflation rate over the longer run is primarily determined by monetary policy, and hence the Committee has the ability to specify a longer-run goal for inflation. The Committee judges that inflation at the rate of 2 percent, as measured by the annual change in the price index for personal consumption expenditures, is most consistent over the longer run with the Federal Reserve's statutory mandate...

...So the FOMC is saying that it would like inflation to be about 2% annually, but is expecting it only to be 1.4 to 2.0% over the next 3 years. Putting 2 and (less than) 2 together, the FOMC is telling us that, based on its price stability objective alone, the Fed is expecting inflation to be lower than it would like....

Interpretation: the Fed is expecting to exert some additional stimulus.

econbrowser.com





To: gronieel2 who wrote (6911)2/14/2012 1:51:02 PM
From: gronieel21 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10065
 
ECRI's Puzzling Recession Call: The Growth Index Contraction Eases Yet Again

"The credibility of the ECRI call has been undermined by a number of recent economic indicators, including today's better-than-expected decline in the unemployment rate. Likewise the unabated rally in major US indexes since the ECRI call casts additional doubt on their position."

Lakshman Achuthan: You Won't Know If Our Recession Call Was Wrong Until One Year From Now

advisorperspectives.com