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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (46374)1/31/2012 3:32:40 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78783
 
Big pharma: Thanks for the update. I'm suspicious of the effect of upcoming patent expirations on these stocks. I've not followed MRK or PFE closely --- sorry I missed the lows at last year's sell-off. I have NVS on my watch list, and have waffled on whether I want to buy or not. It's selling nearer 12-mo lows than highs. Unlike PFE&MRK. The forward p/e is 9+, so I assume analysts have baked expirations into that number. PFE forward p/e is 9+ also, and that company is to have a very big expiration this year I believe, so I wonder about relying on forward p/e estimates here. Maybe SNY, also forward p/e 9, a Buffett pick, might be considered.

Meanwhile in pharma, I hold shares of these:
finance.yahoo.com

Only stock I like here currently is NVO, which imo is not a value stock. I'm betting on the growth in obesity, the associated increase in diabetes, and NVO's ability to treat that disease. If I didn't already own shares, I'd consider it for as a buy for a growth-stock pick.