To: Harry Ehrlich who wrote (24364 ) 11/21/1997 8:34:00 PM From: Glenn D. Rudolph Respond to of 61433
Zacks
Investment
Research, Inc.
-Company Reports-
ASCEND COMM INC Ticker
Exchange
Industry
Type
ASND
NSDQ
TELECOMM EQUIP
Large
Shares/ Outstanding
Institutions
Insiders 188.5 MM
81%
20%
ASCEND COMMUNICATIONS, INC. develops, manufactures, markets, sells and
supports a broad range of high-speed digital wide area network access
products. Co.'s products use bandwidth on demand to enhance and extend
existing corporate networks for applications such as videoconferencing
remote access, Internet access, bulk file transfer, imaging and
integrated voice, vidieo and data access. Co.'s products also used
bandwith on demand to provide automatic emergency backup and bandwith
capacity for peak- period overflow to complement private leased line,
frame relay and ATM networks.
Rec Price P/E Mkt Cap Div Rate Yield Sales (12Mo) Sls Gr EPS Gr Div Gr Zacks Rank
$24.38ÿ 20.5ÿ $4595 MMÿ $0.00ÿ 0.0%ÿ $962 MMÿ 233%ÿ 193%ÿ ÿ Strong Sellÿ
Price/Volume Data
52 Week High $78.75ÿ
52 Week Low $22.63ÿ
Price Change-Year To Date -61%ÿ
Year To Date(Relative To S & P 500) -69%ÿ
Average Daily Volume 6692 000sÿ
Beta 2.76ÿ
Wall Street Recommendations
ÿ Natl Retail Broker Inst Broker Reg Broker Total Z Indicator
Strong Buy 1ÿ 4ÿ 5ÿ 10ÿ 0ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Strong Buy Changes: ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
increase, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Moderate Buy 0ÿ 2ÿ 5ÿ 7ÿ 0ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Mod Buy Changes: ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
increase, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
decrease, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Hold 1ÿ 8ÿ 2ÿ 11ÿ 0ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Hold Changes: ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
increase, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
decrease, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Moderate Sell 0ÿ 0ÿ 1ÿ 1ÿ 0ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Mod Sell Changes: ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
increase, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
decrease, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Strong Sell 0ÿ 1ÿ 0ÿ 1ÿ 1ÿ
ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Strong Sell Changes: ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
decrease, 1 week ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Estimates and actuals are both eps before extras and other non-recurring
items
DISTRIBUTION OF EPS ESTIMATES
HISTOGRAM AS OF 11/15/97
ASCEND COMM INC
FY1 - 9712 FY2 - 9812
33 ESTS. 33 ESTS.
O X
O X
O X XO
X O X XO
XXX O X XX
XXX X X XX
XXX X X XX
XXXX XXX XX XXX
XXXXX XXX X X X X X XX XXX X X
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
0.98 1.08 1.18 1.28 1.38 0.40 0.80 1.20 1.60 2.00
"X" = EPS ESTIMATE ($) "O" = THREE MOST RECENT ESTS.
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12/97 QTR: ASCEND COMM INC 3/98 QTR:
EXP.REPT: 1/16/98 EXP.REPT: 4/10/98
OX OX O
XX OX OO
XX XX XX
XX XX XX
XX XXX XX X
X XX XXXX X X X XXXX X XX
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
0.14 0.24 0.34 0.44 0.54 0.12 0.22 0.32 0.42 0.52
MEAN 0.24 (29) MEAN 0.27 (19)
MOST ACC 0.23 ( 3) MOST ACC 0.25 ( 3)
------------------------------------------------------------
Current EPS Estimates
Period Ending Mean Est.
($/SH) High Est.
($/SH) Low Est.
($/SH) Number Ests. Mean Change, Last Month ($)
Year Endingÿ 12/98ÿ 1.21ÿ 1.85ÿ 0.47ÿ 33ÿ -0.06ÿ
Year Endingÿ 12/97ÿ 1.07ÿ 1.36ÿ 0.99ÿ 33ÿ -0.01ÿ
VS Actualÿ 12/96ÿ 0.98ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Quarter Endÿ 12/97ÿ 0.24ÿ 0.38ÿ 0.14ÿ 29ÿ -0.01ÿ
VS Actualÿ 12/96ÿ 0.32ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Quarter Endÿ 03/98ÿ 0.27ÿ 0.40ÿ 0.12ÿ 19ÿ -0.02ÿ
VS Actualÿ 03/97ÿ 0.36ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
Next 5 Year Growth (%)ÿ ÿ 31.31ÿ 50.00ÿ 19.10ÿ 23ÿ -1.67ÿ
Surprise History
Quarter Endÿ % Surprise Actual Estimate Std Dev # Analysts
12/97 N/Aÿ N/Aÿ 0.24ÿ 0.04ÿ 29ÿ
09/97 8.11ÿ 0.20ÿ 0.19ÿ 0.01ÿ 20ÿ
06/97 -12.58ÿ 0.31ÿ 0.35ÿ 0.02ÿ 26ÿ
Financial History
Year End Sales Net Income EPS ex NRI EPS Reported Dividends High Low
1996 549ÿ 113ÿ 0.98ÿ 0.89ÿ N/Aÿ 71ÿ 39ÿ
1995 149ÿ 30ÿ 0.28ÿ 0.28ÿ N/Aÿ 41ÿ 6ÿ
1994 39ÿ 8ÿ 0.09ÿ 0.09ÿ N/Aÿ 5ÿ 2ÿ
EPS History
Fiscal Year 1st Q 2nd Q 3rd Q 4th Q Year
1998ÿ 0.27Eÿ 0.29Eÿ 0.31Eÿ 0.35Eÿ 1.21Eÿ
1997ÿ 0.36ÿ 0.31ÿ 0.20ÿ 0.24Eÿ 1.07Eÿ
1996ÿ 0.17ÿ 0.24ÿ 0.31ÿ 0.32ÿ 0.98ÿ
Company vs Industry
ÿ --- EPS Growth Rates ---ÿ
ÿ Last 5 Yrs Actual (%)ÿ 97/96 (%)ÿ 98/97 (%)ÿ Nxt 5 Yrs (%)ÿ P/E on 97 EPSÿ
Companyÿ N/Aÿ 9.6ÿ 13.0ÿ 31.3ÿ 22.7ÿ
Ind: (TELECOMM EQUIP)ÿ 27.2ÿ 14.9ÿ 31.1ÿ 27.2ÿ 39.3ÿ
(Ind Group #279)ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ
S&P 500ÿ 12.6ÿ 11.9ÿ 7.5ÿ 7.6ÿ 20.6ÿ
Comp VS Indÿ N/Aÿ -5.3ÿ -18.0ÿ 4.1ÿ -16.6ÿ
Comp VS S&Pÿ N/Aÿ -2.4ÿ 5.5ÿ 23.7ÿ 2.1ÿ
Company Ratios: Current vs History
ÿ Currentÿ 5-Yearÿ
Avgÿ
P/E (12 Mo)ÿ 20.5ÿ 77.8ÿ
Rel P/Eÿ 94%ÿ ÿ
Net Marginÿ 7%ÿ 18.2%ÿ
ROEÿ 28.4%ÿ 26.0%ÿ
LT Debt/Capÿ 0%ÿ 1%ÿ
Company vs Industry Ratios
ÿ TELECOMM EQUIP ÿ INDUSTRY AVGÿ S&P 500ÿ
Pr Chg YTDÿ -61%ÿ ÿ 25%ÿ
P/Eÿ(12Mo)ÿ 20.5ÿ ÿ 21.7ÿ
Price/Bookÿ 3.5ÿ ÿ 5.3ÿ
Price/Salesÿ 4.8ÿ ÿ ÿ
Price/CFÿ 20.4ÿ ÿ ÿ
Impl Ret/ÿP/Eÿ 1.53ÿ ÿ ÿ
Div Yieldÿ 0.0%ÿ ÿ 1.7%ÿ
Net Marginÿ 7.0%ÿ 4.5%ÿ ÿ
ROEÿ 28%ÿ 11%ÿ 23%ÿ
Debt/Capÿ 0%ÿ ÿ ÿ* Ranked 108/153 in TELECOMM EQUIP. TELECOMM EQUIP Ranked 61/211.
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Zacks Company Report was last updated 11/17/97.