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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (28841)	2/1/2012 3:27:39 PM
From: llap	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 222886

IMO the FED has much less control on the long end of the yield curve than the short end. The primary driver for treasury buying is the world-wide panic (Euro crisis, China slowdown, you name it). Once people realize it's not the end of the world and foreigners realizing losses on the US$ exchange rate this will turn. However, if history is any guide the rate upswing is moderate. Look around the 1946 treasury yield bottom, it was pretty slow until past 1950, then we got a first thrust up. Unless 2008 was the low on the long end, then we could move up quite a bit soon... It's 4 years past 2008 now...

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (28841)	2/1/2012 3:38:04 PM
From: Joseph Silent	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 222886

GZ and gang ..... I can use some sharp trader-eyes feedback from you folk. The following figure is very simple, but very carefully measured. The topmost down-sloping black line is the next target. No art or waves or cycles or magic here. Just simple, experimental work. I expected the orange line to be resistance, but it is support. My question: do you folks see visible structure? Are the black downslopes showing bounce and resistance points? Are the green lines suggesting a price corridor? Or is all of this only my imagination? Feedback/thoughts will be appreciated. Thanks much. /J