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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lorne who wrote (123150)2/2/2012 6:45:16 PM
From: FJB2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224724
 
Panetta: “Strong likelihood” that Israel will attack Iran this spring



POSTED AT 6:00 PM ON FEBRUARY 2, 2012 BY ALLAHPUNDIT
hotair.com

I’m skeptical, but the degree of saber-rattling at the Herzliya Conference today was off the charts. First the IDF’s intel chief estimated that Iran has enough uranium to make four bombs, the first of which could be ready in a year. Later Ehud Barak claimed that Iran’s underground enrichment facility at Fordow would soon be too heavily fortified to destroy from the air using conventional weapons, which means the window to attack is closing. Then Israel’s vice prime minister warned that the Iranian missile base that was hit by that oh-so-mysterious explosion in November was working on solid-fuel ICBMs with a range of 6,000 miles, which would expand Iran’s target list from Israel and Europe to the U.S. Take it all together and you’ve got the Israeli brass warning America publicly that soon we’ll face the same nuclear threat as Israel unless someone acts imminently.


To which Panetta says: You go first.

Panetta believes there is strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June — before Iran enters what Israelis described as a “zone of immunity” to commence building a nuclear bomb. Very soon, the Israelis fear, the Iranians will have enough enriched uranium in deep underground facilities to make a weapon — and only the U.S. could then stop them militarily…

Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak may have signaled the prospect of an Israeli attack soon when he asked last month to postpone a planned U.S.-Israel military exercise that would culminate in a live-fire phase in May. Barak apologized that Israel couldn’t devote the resources to the annual exercise this spring…

Israelis are said to believe that a military strike could be limited and contained. They would bomb the uranium-enrichment facility at Natanz and other targets; an attack on the buried enrichment facility at Qom would be harder from the air. Iranians would retaliate, but Israelis doubt the action would be an overwhelming barrage, with rockets from Hezbollah forces in Lebanon. One Israeli estimate is that the Jewish state might have to absorb 500 casualties…

“You stay to the side, and let us do it,” one Israel official is said to have advised the United States. A “short-war” scenario assumes five days or so of limited Israeli strikes, followed by a U.N.-brokered cease-fire. Israelis are said to recognize that damage to the nuclear program might be modest, requiring another strike in a few years.

Continues...