To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (86800 ) 2/3/2012 11:47:01 AM From: Haim R. Branisteanu Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218057 Some observation to the economic report of today which as usual is AGAIN misleading. Those are my 2 cents; As usual I run to check the Birth Death model which revises a whole year of data and for few years proved always to be disappointing for January. Surprise the number was negative by (-367K) jobs which implied a real strong employment number. This did not reconciled with the FED approach to the economy and housing sales and prices, unemployed and general consumption and retail sales. Therefore I went on to check other numbers which again rose my suspicion only to find that the US Civilian non-institutional population grew from December 2011 from 240,584K to 242,269K in January 2012. WOW 1,685,000 million added to one month!! That is a BIG number. So let’s calculate that from the addition of 1,685,000 people at working age only slightly over 247k of the reported number and the B/D model number of over -367K found work, totaling around 600K people, this is a very sad statistics. To clarify 1,685,000 new people entered the workforce and only 35% of them found new jobs. (from 1,685,000 people - only slightly over 600,000 are working ) No wonder that he general “Percent of population” slid to 63.7% from 64 in December 2011, Employed labor force grew from 140,790K to 141,637K leaving the percentage of employed population at the same level as in December. Now of course add to that the inaccuracies of statistics and we are marching fast to nowhere in employment growth as a percentage of the population. Therefore I am not worried of any upward pressure on wages and as a result ensuing runaway inflation…. and surprise surprise neither is the commodity markets or currency markets which are in general well behaved.