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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (87125)2/11/2012 12:26:07 PM
From: bart139 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218842
 
Sophism:
A plausible but fallacious argument.
Deceptive or fallacious argumentation.

Rules for Making Oneself a Disagreeable Companion RULES, by the Observation of which, a Man of Wit and Learning may nevertheless make himself a disagreeable Companion.

Your Business is to shine; therefore you must by all means prevent the shining of others, for their Brightness may make yours the less distinguish'd. To this End,

  1. If possible engross the whole Discourse; and when other Matter fails, talk much of your-self, your Education, your Knowledge, your Circumstances, your Successes in Business, your Victories in Disputes, your own wise Sayings and Observations on particular Occasions.
  2. If when you are out of Breath, one of the Company should seize the Opportunity of saying something; watch his Words, and, if possible, find somewhat either in his Sentiment or Expression, immediately to contradict and raise a Dispute upon. Rather than fail, criticise even his Grammar.
  3. If another should be saying an indisputably good Thing; either give no Attention to it; or interrupt him; or draw away the Attention of others; or, if you can guess what he would be at, be quick and say it before him; or, if he gets it said, and you perceive the Company pleas'd with it, own it to be a good Thing, and withal remark that it had been said by Bacon, Locke, Bayle, or some other eminent Writer; thus you deprive him of the Reputation he might have gain'd by it, and gain some yourself, as you hereby show your great Reading and Memory.
  4. When modest Men have been thus treated by you a few times, they will chuse[choose] ever after to be silent in your Company; then you may shine on without Fear of a Rival; rallying them at the same time for their Dullness, which will be to you a new Fund of Wit.
Thus you will be sure to please yourself. The polite Man aims at pleasing others, but you shall go beyond him even in that. A Man can be present only in one Company, but may at the same time be absent in twenty. He can please only where he is, you where-ever you are not.

The Pennsylvania Gazette, November 15, 1750
-- Benjamin Franklin
Source



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (87125)2/12/2012 10:23:59 PM
From: Joseph Silent4 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218842
 
You obviously didn't study anything involving causal relations, maths, science or logic at school.

I cannot help but smile at how you continue to sink like a bespectacled hippo in quicksand. :)

It would be both humorous and terribly pitiful for me to to tell you just what my education is in and what the level is, and what I may have accomplished .... and so I won't. Just know that while you were and are busy getting your cocktail-party-talk inspired Wiki education, I was and am doing something more rigorous.

I offered you another way. Tell us all precisely how you did the estimation. One who ""does not know math, logic, etc etc" does not ask for probability measures and great detail. I ask, waiting patiently. We can go into any depth you choose with numbers and science. No more fuzzy "feel good" talk about waves and energy and upside down Planck's constants.

Keeping it simple: tell us in some detail how you arrived at your probability estimate and I'll show you a clown masquerading as a sinking-hippo-genius. :)

Joseph



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (87125)2/12/2012 10:33:21 PM
From: Joseph Silent2 Recommendations  Respond to of 218842
 
Probability 101. You won't need to consult Kolmogorov. Or even Feller.

Event A is certain means P(A) = 1, except possibly on a set of measure zero.

To say "good odds" and "P(A) = 1" in the same breath suggests you have been napping by the car exhaust

in Coronation park for far, far too long.

Get a good book. Solve home-work problems. Take real tests. LEARN!

QUIT the interminable Wiki-inspired babbling! We know you type fast. SO WHAT?

:)