To: Brian Hutcheson who wrote (22506 ) 11/24/1997 2:12:00 AM From: jbn3 Respond to of 176387
Brian, re: According to estimates Dell has $1B in cash , even if they spent all their cash (very unlikely!), they could buy only 12M shares or 3.3% of the total . I believe you are making the invalid assumption that DELL has to buy their shares at market price. DELL buys long-term calls and LEAPs, so the per share price they pay is considerably lower than the market price. Quoting from the 97 Annual Report, page 24: During fiscal 1997, the Company repurchased 20 million shares of its Common Stock for an aggregate cost of $503 million. The Company is currently authorized to repurchase up to 30 million additional shares of its Common Stock and anticipates that repurchases under this program will constitute a significant use of future cash resources. Do the calculations yourself to see that the average cost of the repurchased shares in fiscal 97 was about $25.15. Since this data was pre-split, I am not sure whether the Company is now authorized to repurchase an additional 60 million shares in fiscal 98. Also, from page 34: The Company utilizes put and call option instruments to facilitate its repurchase of Common Stock. At February 2, 1997, the Company held put and call option arrangements that entitle the Company to purchase 8.9 million additional shares of Common Stock at an average cost of $35 per share. This is a major reason why few people short DELL successfully, and why NO ONE does it successfully in the mid or longer term. Although our friendly bears, H&H, have supposedly virtually inexhaustible resources and patience, their bankroll cannot compare with the Company's. They are playing pot-limit poker with pocket change. Regards, 3