SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : QUANTUM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Grenier who wrote (5562)11/23/1997 1:03:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9124
 
Welcome back, Richard. Glad to see you survived :-). Quantum will be getting cheaper this coming week. (IMO)



To: Richard Grenier who wrote (5562)11/23/1997 8:23:00 AM
From: Pierre-X  Respond to of 9124
 
Re: Goldbaum article

She says:
And once the major disk-drive manufacturers cut production to be more in line with demand, prices can start rising again...

When all the chief producers get together and agree to restrict supply in order to bring up prices, we call it a cartel. The last famous cartel was OPEC. In the U.S., explicit cartels are considered anti-competitive collusion and generally illegal. In any case, for a cartel to work, ALL the major companies have to play the game. Well it sure doesn't look like Fujitsu and Samsung are going to play by the rules. I'd be surprised to see that kind of collusion in the drive business.

She says:
Western Digital's Haggerty claims that disk-drive manufacturers already have cut back on production by 17% this quarter, easing overcapacity considerably.

This statement is wrong. Current production and industry capacity are two different things entirely. Production cutbacks have no effect on excess capacity which hovers around like a vulture, waiting to swoop down on any hint of rising prices. Meanwhile the technology level marches onward, obsoleting capital resources dedicated to older programs. Producers will instead prefer to operate such obsolescent plant if they can cover variable costs.

What do y'all think?

PX



To: Richard Grenier who wrote (5562)11/23/1997 7:22:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 9124
 
Richard, thanks for the link to the WSJ article! Some of
it is nonsense:

>>disk drives are hardly proprietary products -- to
say the least -- and relatively low barriers to entry have
allowed cash-rich powerhouses like IBM and Fujitsu to jump
in with both feet.


We don't see many new entrants into the business - the opposite
is true (remember Micropolis?). And IBM is hardly an entrant -
they invented disk drives. When an article presents such drivel
in one part, I tend to disregard the rest of it, too.

Regards Gottfried