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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 2MAR$ who wrote (87634)3/1/2012 1:18:39 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Respond to of 217573
 
still lots of ways to make dough in this market.. one of my current faves :O)

Message 27980713



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (87634)3/2/2012 1:24:54 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217573
 
hello 2mar$, report:

have been a big believer in 'blending' the essential metals, primarily of gold (65%) vs platinum (35%), and with a bit of silver (4% expansion) thrills and palladium (so far inconsequential % expansion) condiment added in.

each of the essential metals have a characteristic
- platinum, strategic and industrial, 85% produced out of s.africa and zimbabwe, both problematic
- palladium, bit less strategic and perhaps of equal industry, produced primarily out of russia, nuff said
- silver, poor men's gold, basic industrial and mass psychological
- gold, elemental, monetary, eternal, noble, but otherwise useless

at the mo am actually concerned about platinum (bearish: end of strikes, prospective supply surplus, and potential gold drubbing. bullish: longer term blah blah blah, and prospective mine confiscation in zimbabwe) and ...

have unload 1/3 of paper platinum to recognize profit even as i am adding to physical platinum and solid palladium by partial allocation of same profit.

in so off-loading, i reduced never comfortable leverage by 50% on total pf basis, and in preparation for post-march arena.

should pt go up in the coming week, another 1/3 shall be unceremoniously off-loaded.

must sell in order to buy, and can no longer sell unless intending to buy, or something like that.

the self-sustaining strategy is the only strategy and must be adhered to, whether i like it or not, and in the case of platinum, there is nothing not to like as they solidly stack up and stay so shiny.

as to au:pt parity, should be. 1721 vs 1706 is close enough for gold intervention work.

cheers, tj



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (87634)3/2/2012 6:39:21 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Respond to of 217573
 
hello 2mar$, follow-up report:

After i noted Message 27984523 earlier re sale of 1/3 position in paper pt, I sold more after a good lunch.

I off-loaded all except a bit of my high water marking of paper platinum, and all except a sliver of h.w. paper silver; i did so because I do not know where items are headed in the near term, but should the essential metals wobble upward, I sell, and should they crater, I buy. For the strategic and self-sustaining program, I need inventory and I need capacity.

have increasing cash from negative some number to positive some other number, a swing of around 20%, at aggregate usd profit, and am ready to re-engage as n when.


Fuzzy on allocation until have chance to update Quicken. Essentially flying blind except knowing i am way high gold, and essentially gold denominated.

I have not sold any paper gold. As of now, would be seller should gold ramp, and buyer should gold tank. Essentially agnostic except for deep faith that the gold bull hasn't even gotten started but eventually shall, and in the mean time is forgiving of all sins (off-loading) and tolerant of all mistakes (not off-loading, untimely adding).



i believe in the data n research that says market timing may not be becoming of astute agility, but occasionally cannot help pathological risk on / off and sometimes get confused on what constitutes risk, what is on and where is off.


i vaccinate against my pathological condition via engagement w/ physical labour. I followed on last week's simultaneous large buy of physical, i initiated program yesterday to acquire industrial grade 9995 pt, because my blending of the essential metals is out of balance due to absence of supplies of monetary pt.

On another front, as n when, am ready to dramatically cloud-atm extract (looking for weakness to sell more puts) from slw. High energy price is extremely negative for mining, and negative for mining is good for mining royalty deal-making.

The sell down of paper ag and pt metals is motivated by enthusiasm for realizing leverage-enhanced profit and effort to gather ammunition for post-March world.

Re iran, the shock hit to global economy from reflexive ramp high oil should be substantial and even w/o war, the creeping 'energy tax' shall prove material; but the shock hit to asset prices may well be very extremely temporary as the central banks are simply looking for a opportunities to inflate. The release of strategic petro reserve would be a must. Should Venezuela wobble, even release of spr would not do, as that nation does directly supply team USA.



have place finance.yahoo.com on watch and brief to try to detect hints of impending war(s).

Recommendation: getgold, then getmoregold, and afterwards, getstillmoregold.

p.s. could not convince any ladies to pose as i would likely wish, so i only attach the latest desktop screen (good as tool for educating the young, old and otherwise uninitiated folks), and no, am not gold bug, but an equal opportunity hoarder


and yes, the 50th anniversary mini cooper is plated w/ you suspect what


note the selection of paper claims (royalty program from spiffy resort, zimbabwe faith, german promise, and hong kong shredded hopes)

somewhere you can find the 'liberty', 'tout ou rien' and 'tu ne cede malis' (do no evil)




To: 2MAR$ who wrote (87634)3/5/2012 8:36:58 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217573
 
hello 2mar$, today's report:

(i) the details do not matter, but essentially went high cash in so far as hk-situated paper metals are concerned. did not care for the way benny is messaging, even though he is lying. market in the short term may hiccup, and i want to position for april.

(ii) running away like a girl, am not waiting for e.o.p. march

while it is true that we must not pathologically day-trade, we should also maintain sleep quotient while we survey the last men standing death-match arena, count our blessings so that we may count them again tomorrow, and be ready to step forth and complete god's wet work once the screaming goes deathly still; so ...

... we go in the 'away' direction because we suspect the countertrend manipulation is afoot w/i context of our overarching macro, correlation 1.00; and ...

... maybe i am wrong, but must sleep while traveling, and soon enough easter holiday comes up, and need to be in a good mood for holidays (there are too many %$#@ holidays in hong kong, since we celebrate both the western and eastern flavors) on some hopefully water lodge residence built on stilts in calm lagoon.

(iii) yet am not off of the noble gold and strategic platinum bull markets because i cannot easily sell off the physical.

(iv) deployment incl. at-cost real estate
22% cash
0% bonds
22% metals
19% equity
36% real estate (at cost)

nav +5.93% ytd

deployment excl. at-cost real estate

35% cash (a dramatic change from just a few days ago when i had minus 6% cash ;0) whew! too scary.

35% metals (65% gold, 32% platinum, 3% silver; respective paper:physical 35/65, 11:89, 100:0 - all paper metal positions are usa etfs - may do something, undecided)

30% equity (24% mining (i.e. gdx, gdxj, fnv, paas, slw, remx, clf, whatever), 19% energy, 14% other (i.e. nly, mcd, cpf, arcc, whatever), 43% p.e. (aussie hotsie totsie pre-ipo, other stuff, etc at cost)

nav +8.40% ytd, enough for now, 60+ days of diligence.

am looking to do something about the equity portion of the deployment - either outright sell, short covered calls, or <yuck> buy puts, or do nothing.

let us pray before we prey.

amen, tj



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (87634)3/5/2012 11:49:44 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217573
 
Hello 2mar$, night time report:

sold covered calls at the money or slight above, all April expiration, at market, on many shares (gld, slv, gdx, gdxj, fnv, slw, abx, remx, clf, paas), and leaving alone nly, arcc, cpf and mcd.

also still have canada energy longs, aussie uranium hotsie totsie, and probably some other stuff I do not remember what.

Cheers, tj