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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jazz_lover who wrote (87801)	3/8/2012 12:47:41 AM
From: Maurice Winn	2 Recommendations Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218151

I don't know about silver or copper, but they are admirable metals for highly functional things such as providing a path for electrons to whizz around circuitry. Silver isn't much use for photography or xrays any more. As a monetary insulation from financial relativity theory event horizons, silver is lacking a lot. Silver is never going to be used to carry around in a pocket as I did decades ago. Gold's monetary mania valuation is simplistically based on the idea that it will be used once again as a gold standard foundation for pixelated monetary systems and as a medium to enable secretive movement of financial assets to somewhere else and in desperate circumstances to trade one's way out of physically catastrophic circumstances such as a shortage of food when gold could buy some, or bribe a border guard, or some such. There won't be a reintroduction of a gold standard other than in some minor ways. I do know a bit more about oil. Oil is too expensive now and the price will come down. Alternatives are so much cheaper that swarms of people will stop using oil and start using something else. There could be oil price spikes because of events such as Saudi Arabia have a revolution and their supplies being stopped, or Iran's production being stopped. Maybe the Straits of Hormuz being closed. But those will be temporary. Even if the Saudi production is permanently removed, people will adapt by using other things [coal, tar, fracking, gas, photovoltaics, noocular, insulation, smaller vehicles, moving to a warm climate, catching a train instead of their commuter SUV]. How I did the sunspot predicting was looking at the hundreds of years of graphs and seeing where it was going next. Fitting that to climate effects involved my climate model of the 1980s which included cloud cover [expert climatologists are only now realizing they really have to put clouds in their equations], and greenery cover [the experts haven't got around to that yet] as well snow/ice cover [over land and sea]. One thing I should really pin down is the next Taupo or Yellowstone caldera eruptions which will put a LOT of sulphates in the atmosphere and produce a "nuclear winter". To do that I need to get the tidal peaks over the next 20 years to find when the super-peak tides are going to be. The reason the climatologists and environmentalists get it wrong is that they make the fundamental mistake of thinking Earth is in Balance, which it is not and never has been. Not even is it just volatile. Earth is on a one way journey to death as Gaia suicidally has stripped carbon out of the ecosphere since the carboniferous and back beyond that to when it was methane, burying it in permanent graves of limestone, coal, shale, oil, gas, tars. The sun has very long cycles built into it and those show up in sun spot output. There are probably much longer records than sun spot observation in geological strata if we had a look. I must admit that the 2020 Little Ice Age/Reglaciation sooth is a little tongue in cheek because it enables "2020 foresight". It might be 2019 or 2018. Or not at all. But we have to go with probabilities. The chance of a warm Ottawa winter is low and one doesn't bet too much on such a thing. You might yet get a dose of freezing cold. We had a big snow storm in May one year I was there. Mqurice