To: jazz_lover who wrote (87811 ) 3/9/2012 6:36:07 PM From: Maurice Winn 1 Recommendation Respond to of 218163 Yes, Ottawa was very nice, especially economically, but winter went on too long and was too cold. Then the black flies, mosquitoes and leeches in summer were seriously annoying. <A Chinese looking through a dark glass recording sunspots might not hold up to todays rigor. > Rigor and science come from the mind, not the tools of the trade which simply increase observational power. A good observer with a studious thoughtful mind in China hundreds of years ago was as good as observers today. The sun and sunspots are big enough and close enough and dark glass good enough for observation way back then to be reliable. While there is a lot more data now, the early data was good enough to determine the cycle sizes. Temperature measurement was good enough back then too. It really was cold back then [the frozen Thames being a good macro thermometer]. Water freezing means it really is down to 0 degrees Celsius. My method of prediction of gold is partly numerical in observation of trends, linear regression analysis, and financial relativity theory moves by Big Ben et al. But it's overlaid with intuition which is really just the eclectic absorption of disparate data and observation of people and moods for which there's not a method. It wasn't really that it's a secret. I'm right now preparing a dirty great Tonka Truckload bet on the future. In progress. I'll report later. I think I mentioned I sold PHR right at the tippy top - now down 3%. Shorts of JPM, WFC, GLD, BRCM were all covered in timely manner almost at their bottoms, thank goodness as they have zoomed back up with the latest party-time flight from 0% interest and the seeking of life, liberty and the pursuit of safety. Mqurice