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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gizwick who wrote (47031)3/14/2012 7:06:37 PM
From: Spekulatius3 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78618
 
re PNX -
The downside risk is limited and the reward is a possible double from here.

This stock was at ~1$ in Sept. 2011. My guess that would define the downside. Also from a fundamental analysis side, based on my cursury review of the balance sheet I am not sure that the special charges are done. Due to the outsize (imo) amount of deferred acquisition cost, I think there is a lot of risk that this asset will have to be written off (especially since the profitability of the existing business may be challenged by the low interest environment).

Part of what irks me a bit in your stock proposals is that you solely mention the positive fact, but never the negative ones. I do not know if this is simply because you concentrate solely on the upside, or buy based on blend of fundamentals and charts (which I suspect), or you just think we can do our own homework (which we can). However my preference would be that you share all the facts that you are aware of, not just the bull case. As someone who is heavily invested in a stock like PNX, I suppose you are aware of the fact ,that PNX is considering a reverse stock split. I don't think I need to tell you that post a reverse split, stocks often tend to lag:

sec.gov