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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ChinuSFO who wrote (111502)3/22/2012 12:20:08 AM
From: mel221  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
>> That is not so in Silicon Valley. All the millionaires, by shyer education have become millionaires

Good example.

I spent a few years in Silicon Valley. My experience was typical for that area and the many thousands of hard working and risk taking individuals.

But, I suspect for most of us, the working hard didn't start with the college degree. It started as early as the 4th grade.



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (111502)3/22/2012 1:17:42 AM
From: tejek  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 149317
 
Rags to Riches?

The American Dream Is Less Common

in the United States than Elsewhere

How many times have you heard “you can be what you want to be if only you

work for it ”? The American dream has brought millions to our shores, legally

or surreptitiously, in search of upward economic mobility. And, over the

decades, millions of children of immigrants or of working-class Americans have

prospered and advanced in our competitive economy.

But how easy is it for the children of poor parents to become prosperous? Recent

evidence shows that there is much less mobility in the United States than most

people assume.
Horatio Alger notwithstanding, rags to rags and riches to riches are

not the norm in this country to a greater degree than in many other developed

nations. Our current education system, antidiscrimination laws, and other public

policy tools that aim to give the children of poor parents a fair shot at a high

income are not getting the job done. We may all believe in the American Dream, but

we have a lot of work to do if we are to make that dream a reality.

Studies show that life chances differ profoundly depending on the circumstances

into which a child is born (see Figure 1, page 2). Only a small share of the children

of the poor end up earning high incomes—most remain in or near poverty.

The columns in Figure 1 show the income quintile (five groups in 20 percent

increments) that people end up in as adults if they were born into the bottom 20

percent of the income distribution. Of those born into the bottom fifth of the

income distribution, 42 percent

end up where they started—at

the bottom. Another 24 percent of those born into the bottom

fifth move up slightly to the

next-to-bottom quintile (still

below the average). Only 7

percent of those born into the

bottom fifth end up in the top

tier—providing the relatively rare

rags-to-riches stories that

Americans celebrate.

Conversely, nearly 40 percent of

those who are born into the top

quintile remain there, while

barely 6 percent of those born

into the top 20 percent end up

in the bottom fifth
. So a person

born into the top quintile is

more than five times as likely to

end up at the top as a person

born into the bottom quintile
.


Research also shows that sons and their fathers might have very different incomes some years (as

one would expect if there were a lot of income mobility), but the more years one averages, the

more closely sons’ incomes match their fathers’ incomes
. Father or son may have a few unusual

years, but if one averages fifteen years of a father’s income, there is a close association with his

son’s income (also averaged for several years). Figure 2 shows how the association rises as the

comparison period is extended.1

How can we explain the close association

of fathers’ and sons’ incomes? There seems

to be little economic mobility in the United

States. But could this interpretation be

wrong?

Maybe the obstacles to mobility are

unrelated to economic and social

forces. The lack of movement across

income levels might be attributable to

inheritance of intelligence, with capable

families ending up at the top and weak

performers at the bottom.
nger We Look,

the More Sons Look Like Their Fathers

1. If the association were 1.0, a father and son would be

expected to have the same income. An association of 0.0

would mean that the son’s income bears no relationship

to the father’s. The closer the value is to 0.0, the greater

the income mobility.

Alternatively, perhaps mobility is limited by social and economic obstacles:

Maybe the children of the poor (at every level of ability) obtain less and

inferior schooling compared to the children of the rich.

Maybe wealth passed on during life and at death gives the children of rich

parents their advantage. Maybe social networks and other aspects of social class drive opportunity

toward children of people in similar social circumstances.


Economists have employed sophisticated techniques to try to disentangle many of

these possible explanations as to why people tend to remain at income levels

comparable to those of their parents. But the best research explains remarkably

little about the strong association between fathers’ and sons’ incomes.

Figure 3 shows the results of work by Samuel Bowles and Herbert Gintis, which

concludes that similarities in intelligence can account for only about 4 percent of

4

Perhaps most surprising is substantial evidence that citizens of other advanced

countries are more likely to climb the economic ladder successfully than

Americans.
Figure 4 illustrates results from a variety of studies in other countries.

As in the United States, different studies come up with different numbers because

they use different data and, more important, because they average fathers’ and

sons’ incomes over different periods of time. As Figure 2 illustrates, the association

between fathers’ and sons’ incomes in studies conducted in the United States

ranges from less than 0.3 to more than 0.6, where 0.6 implies a high association of

fathers’ and sons’ incomes—that is, low economic mobility—while 0.3 implies

somewhat greater mobility. One survey reported an average value in many U.S.

studies of 0.43. In Figure 4, the studies for Scandinavia, Germany, and Canada

suggest greater mobility than in the United States
. These results are not conclusive

because of differences among the studies in data sources and methods, but it is

likely that economic mobility in the United States is lower than in the Scandinavian

countries, Germany, and Canada.

In the end, we are left with a double challenge: Why is economic mobility in the

United States so limited, and what policies can improve the prospect that people

born into low-income families will be able to earn substantially more than their

parents? This is an important question not only because we want a fair society but

also because we want to make good use of the potential of all of our citizens.

7http://tcf.org/publications/pdfs/pb441/ragrichrc.pdf

Prepared