To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (15036 ) 11/24/1997 11:30:00 PM From: IQBAL LATIF Respond to of 50167
Intraday Asean morning update- SPZ- The break to 953 never came rather it tested btw 12,00-2,00 EST 955 around several times since SOX was holding above 300 I overcame a strong urge to go long and saw market testing 959 at around 2,30-2,45 EST within next 15 minutes my levels on SOX 300 started breaking the break of 300 much before then the real break came i.e.7800 and 955 on SPZ, I immediately purchased 940 puts as I witnessed significant seling pressure. On bonds some rising yields but not of any major consequence. Nekkei down 700 futures were predicting last night a drop of 450 so as a result we see S&P on globex trading steady perhaps waiting to see market opening in Europe, the mitigated response of selling in ASEA indicates bad news well built in the market. I would assume Europe to regain some losses and S&P on globex to inch up slightly, it always does when I have some short puts gg. I thnik that SOX will be the best indicator for the market direction in context of recovery I would expect a strong recovery to 300 in matters on next two sessions- a break below 288 is retest of old levels I will assume that now that SPZ has come as low as 950 they may test 942 today - I have no reasons to remain short and expect that 942 will hold if tested stillmy reconfimations will emanate from overall idexes like SOX DJIA and TB. In my opinion this market is very resiliance in face of lot of negative news will Japanese bankruptcies will be harbinger of new world financial turmoil I don't think so. Baring and other major bankruptcies have shown that an ordered closing down is a possiblity within context of OECD turmoil, market by pre-empting and taking necessary precautions is doing a prudent thing and will accordingly benefit once the dust settles. Dell future growth prospects seems to be intact, the numbers beat street expectations although a bit lower then expected whisper number of 70 some projected as high as 73, will Tech suffer in background of strong future prospects for bxes, I doubt it.