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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (47408)4/11/2012 11:51:59 PM
From: Spekulatius  Respond to of 78673
 
re MOS @49.53$ - also added a first lot of this "Fast Money" name. Lot's of hot money is (or was) into these fertilizer stocks. I think the LT fundamentals look OK, the valuation is at least OK and the balance sheet looks great. MOS has about 5$ in net cash/share.



To: Spekulatius who wrote (47408)4/16/2012 5:40:26 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 78673
 
I'm adding (today) to HES and to ROSE as these oil stocks fall.

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Fwiw, excerpts from Credit Suisse in Barron's today:

"We are raising our 2013-2014 Brent oil prices to the $130-$140-per-barrel range to reflect a lack of supply (despite U.S. shale) and continued-demand growth in emerging markets." (aside: wow!)

I guess this leads to their concluding:

"We reiterate the case for being overweight select liquid-rich U.S. large caps, notably Hess (ticker: HES), Suncor Energy (SU), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Apache (APA), Kosmos Energy (KOS) and Noble Energy (NBL), which all have greater than 30% upside from current levels.

There is decent value in Marathon Oil (MRO), Anadarko Petroleum (APC) and Chevron (CVX) also.

For those looking to play a natural-gas recovery, Range Resources (RRC) looks undervalued on our lowered natural-gas price deck"

online.barrons.com