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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Farmboy who wrote (50810)4/20/2012 7:35:45 AM
From: Hope Praytochange  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71588
 
China's Wen visits Iceland, eyes on Arctic riches 04/20 07:22 AM By Mia Shanley

REYKJAVIK, April 20 (Reuters) - Chin's premier Wen Jiabao lands in Iceland on Friday to begin a tour of northern Europe that will focus on Chinese investment on a continent eager for fund from the fast-growing Asian power.

That the prime minister of the world's most populous nation chose to start his trip on a remote island of just 320,000 has raised hopes for an injection of Chinese cash into an economy ravaged by the bursting of a financial bubble three years ago - but also suspicion of Beijing's hunger for natural resources.

A Chinese developer is fighting a government decision last year to bar him from buying a vast tract of land which some had suggested might be a cover for a possible future naval base and part of a wider strategy to gain a foothold in the region.

Over two days, Wen, who trained as a geologist, will see volcanic geysers and electricity plants where Iceland captures geothermal energy. The government expects a deal with Wen to cooperate on developing such resources in east Africa, where China is already a big investor and buyer of raw materials.

Due to land in Reykjavik at midday (1200 GMT), Wen will later visit Germany, Poland and Sweden, where he will discuss investment and industrial projects and is also likely to hear pleas for Beijing to drop its resistance to Western efforts to impose U.N. sanctions on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

But by starting with a full-scale visit to Iceland, he has fueled European concern that China might be trying to exploit the country's economic troubles to gain a strategic foothold in the North Atlantic and Arctic region.

The area has big reserves of oil, gas, gold, diamonds, zinc and iron. And with global warming melting polar ice, it may offer world powers new shipping routes - and naval interests - for the trade between Asia, Europe and America's east coast.

"When it comes to the Arctic, we always have China on our mind," said one European diplomat from the Nordic region, who spoke to Reuters this week on condition of anonymity.



ARCTIC FOOTHOLD?

Last year, Iceland's government rejected a plan by multi-millionaire Chinese developer Huang Nubo to build a sprawling tourist resort in the northeast corner of the chilly island, saying it did not meet legal requirements on foreign ownership.

A livid Huang, who went to university with Icelanders, said the decision revealed Western "hypocrisy" and that foreigners wrongly assumed Chinese firms had ties to China's military.

Huang is still pursuing the project and is in the midst of negotiating a new plan with Icelandic municipalities in which he would instead lease the property. People close to him say he may get a green light in weeks.

But conspiracy theories over why such an Asian giant would be interested in such a small nation abound.

"Given China's investment pattern around the globe, people have asked questions. Why are doing this? Is there some ulterior motive?" said Embla Eir Oddsdottir at the Stefansson Arctic Institute.

"For next decade they are going to be battling some sort of suspicion as to their motive, because people have a tendency to link them to some type of regime."

Many expect China to raise the issue of gaining observer status in the Arctic Council, which comprises Canada, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Russia, Sweden, the United States and Denmark, all of them nations with territory inside the Arctic Circle.

With ice receding faster than many had expected, some estimates suggest the polar ice cap might disappear completely during the summer season as soon as 2040, perhaps much earlier.

That could slash the journey time from Europe and the east coast of North America to Chinese and Japanese ports by well over a week, possibly taking traffic from the southern Suez Canal route.

"These are pretty big stakes," Oddsdottir of the Stefansson Institute in Iceland said. "I wonder if under the surface the race is already there, to gain a foothold in the Arctic."



TRADE, INVESTMENT

China has sought to assuage worries.

"China is willing to make contributions towards the peace, stability and sustainable development of the Arctic region, and it is on that basis that China seeks cooperation with Iceland," Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Song Tao told reporters.

Trade will also top the agenda during meetings.

Iceland was the first European country to start free trade talks with China, though the process was suspended in 2009 as the crisis-hit nation applied to join the European Union.

Chinese and Icelandic officials say there will be talk about resuming this process.

In 2011, trade reached $151 million, up 35 percent on the year. China exports mostly coke, clothing, shoes, textiles and ships to Iceland, while Iceland exports mostly fish to China.

China also wants cooperate on geothermal power and other scientific research in fields such as the Northern Lights.

This month, the British government said it had discussed plans to tapping Iceland's geothermal resources in a move that could rekindle talk of creating a "supergrid" for electricity linking continental Europe, Britain, North Africa and Iceland.

In Poland, another stop on the tour, a government official said Wen's visit may include discussions about Chinese interest in investing in roads, banks and the energy sector in a former Communist country which was growing fast than western Europe. (Additional reporting by Ben Blanchard in Beijing; Editing by Alistair Scrutton and Alastair Macdonald)



To: Farmboy who wrote (50810)4/26/2012 10:26:07 PM
From: greatplains_guy1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
I wouldn't think Hillary would accept a job as 'second fiddle' in the Obama orchestra ..

The history of untimely deaths of people who stand between the Clintons and power is such that Obama remains unlikely to select Hillary as running mate if he thinks he has any chance of winning.



To: Farmboy who wrote (50810)5/20/2012 11:06:53 PM
From: greatplains_guy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Expect a Desperate Obama to Dump Biden
By Jack Kelly
May 15, 2012

Vice President Joe Biden isn't invited to Sunday campaign strategy meetings at the White House, The New York Times reported May 4.

President Barack Obama designated Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., his top surrogate on foreign policy issues, fueling speculation he'd be secretary of state in a second Obama administration.

So Washington is abuzz with rumors the president will replace Mr. Biden with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

He ought to. Slow Joe is a national embarrassment.

Osama bin Laden made plans to assassinate the president and Gen. David Petreaus, according to captured documents. But the vice president should not be attacked, bin Laden wrote, because "Biden is totally unprepared for that post." If he were president, Mr. Biden would "lead the U.S. into a crisis."

Something stupid the vice president says makes news nearly every week. Last week he suggested to a group of rabbis that the Bush administration was to blame for the Iranian nuclear weapons crisis, as opposed to Iran.

Mr. Biden may suffer from logorrhea, which Merriam-Webster defines as "pathologically excessive and often incoherent talkativeness or wordiness that is characteristic especially of the manic phase of bipolar disorder." So what the White House calls "Joe Bombs" will keep on coming, a prospect which must chill Team Obama.

But there are downsides to dumping him. The move would reek of desperation.

Dumping a loyal supporter, however feckless, would seem ruthless and selfish. These are not traits a president wants foremost in voters' minds when he's hoping that his personal-approval ratings will compensate for his low job-approval ratings.

If Mr. Obama dumps Slow Joe, he'd be admitting he chose poorly in 2008. This president can't afford to give voters more reasons for questioning his judgment.

There isn't much upside. In the old days of ticket balancing, all political pros hoped for was that a vice presidential candidate would carry his home state. This happened in 1960. Jack Kennedy wouldn't have won Texas, or the election, if Lyndon Johnson weren't on the ticket. It hasn't happened since.

In 1988, the stature gap between vice presidential candidates was never wider. Democratic Sen. Lloyd Bentsen was hugely respected. Republican Sen. Dan Quayle was the butt of jokes. It didn't matter. Republican George H.W. Bush crushed Democrat Michael Dukakis.

People vote based on what they think of the presidential candidates. This is especially so if the candidate is already president. So, though a popular choice can goose turnout in a dispirited base, as Sarah Palin did in 2008, the vice presidential candidate -- no matter how good or bad -- changes few votes.

That said, if the jettisoning of a running mate reflects poorly on the judgment or character of the presidential candidate, there is blowback, as Sen. George McGovern learned after he dumped Sen. Thomas Eagleton in 1972.

So it may be prudent for Mr. Obama to stick with Mr. Biden. One benefit is that as long as Slow Joe is out there saying stupid things, people will take less notice of the stupid things the president says, wrote Jonah Goldberg in National Review.

Still, I expect the switch to be made, because if Team Obama wasn't desperate before this week, it must be now.

A federal prisoner won 41 percent of the vote against the president in the Democratic primary in West Virginia Tuesday.

Mr. Obama opposed the constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage on the ballot in North Carolina. It won overwhelmingly. Then he evolved into an outright supporter of same-sex marriage.

In Wisconsin, GOP Gov. Scott Walker, running essentially unopposed in the recall primary, got more votes than the leading Democrats combined.

Support for the war in Afghanistan plunged to 27 percent, the lowest ever recorded, in an AP poll Wednesday.

Also Wednesday, Goldman Sachs said the weak first quarter GDP growth rate of 2.2 percent is likely to be revised to 1.9 percent. For workers under age 25, the unemployment rate last month was 16.4 percent. Which helps explain why there were so many empty seats at Mr. Obama's "official" campaign kickoff at Ohio State University last weekend.

"At times, the rallies (at OSU and Virginia Commonwealth University) had the feeling of a concert by an aging rock star," wrote Mark Landler of The New York Times.

For one of the youngest presidents ever, that sounds like an epitaph.

realclearpolitics.com