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To: almaxel who wrote (132743)5/1/2012 7:47:07 PM
From: Cogito2 Recommendations  Respond to of 213182
 
Here’s why Google and Facebook might completely disappear in the next 5 years

Or not.

Some of what the author says is true, and some is just nonsense. Amazon is not going to disappear because they aren't a social site, nor because of a shift to mobile. How does "mobile" replace "a huge online store with great selection and good prices?" Nor do I find it convincing that he says "the web is dead," when I'm reading his article on a website.

Yahoo is drying up because Google did it better. Google's search business may dry up as mobile apps from Apple and others make it easy to get search results without involving them.

I have no idea about Facebook. It seems to have such a large population that it is self-reinforcing, and though they may have been slow to catch on to mobile, they are there now. I just got a Facebook message from my ex-wife in Sweden this morning. On my iPhone. She could have used a number of other methods to send it, but she chose Facebook, and I didn't have to sit down at my computer to get it.

When new technologies come along, you always hear some people saying that x is going to replace y. That happens sometimes. CDs replaced vinyl records, for the most part. Digital downloads are now replacing CDs, slowly.

But television didn't replace radio, nor did it replace movies. And the web is going strong, no matter what number you choose to assign to it.

Just my opinion, and worth exactly as much as you paid for it.