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To: GST who wrote (27616)5/2/2012 9:39:05 AM
From: Metacomet1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29622
 
So you are saying this guy is clueless?

Goodman also warns that U.S. economy and markets are “at risk for a sharp correction” if conditions aren’t “normalized.”


If he isn't, I'll say it

This guy is clueless

What does this fool think is the status of the economy and the markets without that government support?

We are recovering from a depression, not a recession

There are no other liquidity sources

Newsmax is a joke



To: GST who wrote (27616)5/2/2012 9:59:18 AM
From: Tommaso  Respond to of 29622
 
Before I got up this morning I was thinking that maybe the closest parallel to the fiscal situation in the U. S. (and most of the rest of the world) would be China --maybe 800 years ago.

Am going to research to see if there are any trustworthy accounts of the failed paper-money era then.

Well here's one, but right in the first paragraph is a mistake. The word "cash" does not come from Chinese.

financialsensearchive.com

Maybe better:

dailyreckoning.com



To: GST who wrote (27616)5/2/2012 10:09:40 AM
From: Nevada9999  Respond to of 29622
 
No, I think he is saying he is clueless.



To: GST who wrote (27616)5/2/2012 11:00:55 AM
From: ecrire  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29622
 
The referenced article refers to Fed actions LAST YEAR. I don't know about the "61%", that sounds high, probably just throwing numbers around.
Since then, the Fed has not increased its balance sheet.
Also, since then, Treasury auctions, without Fed participation,have gone well, both domestic and foreign.
The theme of the inevitable crash to come eventually is widely accepted by doomsayers but there are better potential alternatives, such as an improving, job producing economy, which would then justify the Fed's accomodative policies.



To: GST who wrote (27616)5/2/2012 11:05:24 AM
From: Tommaso  Respond to of 29622
 
I am beginning to despair of getting really trustworthy information about Chinese paper money of 800-1,000 years ago.

People keep quoting Marco Polo on the subject, but never specify the exact source. I downloaded Polo's "Travels" in a Kindle edition and though there are many references to paper money, there is nothing resembling the statements scattered all over the Internet and attributed to him. Would love to be corrected about this.

There does seem to be a consensus that overissue of paper money in China did cause repeated bouts of inflation and destruction of the currency.

Our own experiment of pure fiat money is as we all know just over 40 years old. The rise of the price of gold over sixfold in about a decade does say something about the dollar.

Too many lies being told on all sides of the issue.



To: GST who wrote (27616)5/3/2012 4:04:28 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29622
 
Does this sound like any other economist you are familiar with?

Thus, the population of the United States has increased during the past century at
the rate of about three per cent., or thirty per mille per
annum compounded. The money of the United States,
though not without frequent and injurious, if not dangerous,
fluctuations, appears to have augmented at the rate of about
thirty- three per mille per annum.

Another determinable quantity to which the actual in-
crease of money appears to have conformed is the net rate
of interest for money. This quantity is not so readily nor
easily determinable as the increase of population ; neverthe-
less it is determinable. The net rate of interest means the
average actual or market rate of interest, less risk, taxes,
and the cost of the superintendence of loans. This rate in
the United States has been and is still about thirty-three
per mille per annum.

Without as yet assuming that these indications offer a
practical solution to so difficult a problem, let it be sup-
posed that the money of the United States, instead of being
left, as it has been, to alternately expand or contract with
the commercial movements of bullion, the paper emissions
of
banksand treasuries, the exigencies of governments, and
the contentions of party, had been regulated to augment at
the rate of thirty-three per mille per annum then these
results would have followed :

1. The country would have had, all along, substantially
the same amount of money that it has had ; only, instead of
alternately increasing and diminishing, in some years to
more than half the extent of its previous volume, it would
have augmented steadily at the rate of 3^ per cent, per
annum.

2. The reckless inflations,, speculations, and dishonest
transactions of 1814, 1819, 1829, 1837, 1857, and 1864
would not have occurred.

3. The contractions and stringencies that followed these
eras would not have been occasioned.

4. Nor would it have been necessary to legalise the dis-
graceful repudiations, nor to pass the stay-laws and bank-
ruptcy Acts which were enacted to relieve the distresses
occasioned by these contractions, and into which innocent
and honourable men were drawn, together with the design-
ing and dishonourable.