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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: longnshort who wrote (486400)	5/9/2012 10:44:34 AM
From: skinowski	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793790

Agree about the TP. But it's not obvious that the Dems would be scared. Not according to this article, where James Carville is actually concerned about possible overconfidence on the part of the Dems - who, according to him, consider the Romney candidacy "pathetic". Message 28133015

To: longnshort who wrote (486400)	5/9/2012 10:59:26 AM
From: FJB	Respond to of 793790

Absolutely.

To: longnshort who wrote (486400)	5/9/2012 1:23:09 PM
From: Tom Clarke	7 Recommendations Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 793790

Jonathan Chait sees "frightening outlines of a future systemic crisis" in Richard Lugar's defeat. I'm seeing outlines of liberals getting really nervous about what is — I suspect — the American voters' preference for some crisp conservatism. althouse.blogspot.com

To: longnshort who wrote (486400)	5/9/2012 4:04:40 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	18 Recommendations Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 793790

Jay Severin is on Boston's Talk 1200 radio right now. He is a talk show host who spent 20 years running campaigns, so he has interesting insights on politics & campaigns. He says that last night was 2010 redux; a disaster for Obama down the line. He's only sorry there weren't more contests. Lugar losing in Indiana and traditional marriage winning in North Carolina are the main items. But Jay is pointing out a couple of signs the media might miss: In last night's primary in Wisconsin, 2 Democrats ran for the chance to oppose Gov. Walker; Walker ran unopposed. So you would expect more Democrats to vote than Republicans, since there was no contest on the Republican side, right? Twice as many Republicans voted as Democrats. In the North Carolina primary, Barack Obama ran unopposed. 1 in 5 Democrats voted for "Other". In the West Virginia primary, Barack Obama ran unopposed. 41% of Democrats voted for a felon serving time in Texas over Obama (the felon had paid $2,500 to get on the ballot). Romney had a long bruising primary and his defeated opponents don't even have the grace to endorse him properly. Romney has a double digit lead among independents already despite that. When pollsters ask, is the country on the right track or wrong track? Wrong track outnumbers Right track by 2 to 1 Tracking polls currently put Romney over Obama by 5%. More importantly, Obama's job approval has been consistently under 50% for two years now. Obama will not win the majority of the undecided voters -- it's an axiom of politics that undecideds always break against the incumbent at least 7 to 3. Yesterday, Jay put the odds of Obama losing in a landslide as 1 in 3. Today he's sounding even more confident.