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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (113326)5/10/2012 12:33:35 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Huh? We are not anywhere close to a recession right now. What is wrong with you?

The confusion is to most it seems we have been in recession for five years with deleveraging ongoing since Obama won the election in the height of the financial crisis making it feel even worse.

That's why I try to stick to the facts. What people are 'feeling' frequently is not reflective of reality. Nonetheless, you make a very good point.

I doubt we tip into 'official' recession in the USA now given the strength of corporate balance sheets and the steep yield curve.. ECRI seemed to indicate last Fall recession was unavoidable and was happening soon not the second half of 2012. It can also be argued inflation is somewhat understated thus real GDP in this 'slowdown' is overstated putting it close to zero and some of what ECRI has expected on a more global basis has occurred.

I tend to agree. I am watching what is happening locally as one of my gauges and I see the local economy strengthening rather than weakening. And as strong as the local economy is I am seeing other markets that are even much stronger.........so I know what's happening here is not an aberration.