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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wayners who wrote (132911)5/17/2012 12:45:59 PM
From: Carolyn  Respond to of 224749
 
That is a good question. No one ever explains how they do that.



To: Wayners who wrote (132911)5/17/2012 12:55:42 PM
From: sm1th  Respond to of 224749
 
This is a dumb question but who/how is it decided who is a likely voter
They ask about your voting history, did you vote in the last election etc.



To: Wayners who wrote (132911)5/17/2012 1:16:44 PM
From: joefromspringfield1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224749
 
Here is how Gallup determines likely voters:

"Of course, we know that in the final analysis, not all of these registered voters will actually end up voting. So Gallup has over the years created systems to isolate likely voters, that group of individuals who we can estimate are most likely to actually turn out and vote.

There are a variety of ways to estimate likely voters. Different pollsters and polling groups have different approaches. Gallup has spent decades developing our system, which we have found in election after election helps improve our accuracy in terms of how our final poll before an election compares to the actual vote percentages on Election Day itself.

Gallup's system consists of asking respondents a battery of questions about past voting, current interest in the election, and self-reported interest in voting. These include such questions as "How much thought have you given to the upcoming election for president?", "Do you happen to know where people who live in your neighborhood go to vote?", "Have you ever voted in your precinct or election district?", "Do you yourself plan to vote in the presidential election this November?", and "Rate your chances of voting in November's election for president on a scale of 1 to 10."


gallup.com